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Opinion: Unprecedented Economic Pessimism Among Americans as Consumer Confidence Drops to Crisis Levels
According to a report by Jinse Finance, The Kobeissi Letter analysis indicates that U.S. consumer economic expectations have dropped to crisis levels: the consumer confidence index plummeted by 8 points, falling to 86 in April, marking the weakest level since May 2020. This also signifies the fifth consecutive month of decline, with confidence dropping across all age groups and most income brackets. Worryingly, consumer expectations for the next six months have decreased by 13 points, down to 54, the lowest level since October 2011. According to data from the Conference Board, readings below 80 typically signal an impending economic recession. The unprecedented pessimism among Americans regarding the economic future is alarming.
According to a report by Jinse Finance, The Kobeissi Letter analysis indicates that U.S. consumer economic expectations have dropped to crisis levels: the consumer confidence index plummeted by 8 points, falling to 86 in April, marking the weakest level since May 2020. This also signifies the fifth consecutive month of decline, with confidence dropping across all age groups and most income brackets. Worryingly, consumer expectations for the next six months have decreased by 13 points, down to 54, the lowest level since October 2011. According to data from the Conference Board, readings below 80 typically signal an impending economic recession. The unprecedented pessimism among Americans regarding the economic future is alarming.
Weak U.S. Economic Data May Prompt Fed to Turn Dovish, Benefiting Bitcoin
According to a report by Jinse Finance, Bitcoin briefly fell below the $94,000 mark on Wednesday after the release of U.S. macroeconomic data, with a daily decline of 1%. Major altcoins like Ethereum and Solana also fell in tandem, with the total cryptocurrency market value retracting nearly 4%. The U.S. economy contracted by 0.3% in the first quarter, below the expected growth of 0.2%. The core PCE in March rose by 2.6% year-on-year, matching expectations but lower than the revised February figure of 3.0%. In April, ADP employment added 62,000 jobs, a significant drop from March's 147,000. David Hernandez, a crypto investment expert at 21Shares, pointed out: "Federal funds futures now show that the market expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates more than four times this year. In the context of slowing inflation and signs of economic recession, policymakers' balancing act will be key to market trends in the coming weeks." Kirill Kretov, a senior automation expert at CoinPanel, believes that rate cuts will benefit Bitcoin through a triple mechanism: a weaker dollar, improved liquidity, and declining Treasury yields. "The -0.3% GDP data, combined with President Trump's increased pressure on the Federal Reserve, significantly raises the probability of a dovish policy shift. In the current context of thin Bitcoin liquidity, even moderate capital inflows could lead to a substantial price increase." The market generally believes that weak economic data may force the Federal Reserve to start an easing cycle earlier.
According to a report by Jinse Finance, Bitcoin briefly fell below the $94,000 mark on Wednesday after the release of U.S. macroeconomic data, with a daily decline of 1%. Major altcoins like Ethereum and Solana also fell in tandem, with the total cryptocurrency market value retracting nearly 4%. The U.S. economy contracted by 0.3% in the first quarter, below the expected growth of 0.2%. The core PCE in March rose by 2.6% year-on-year, matching expectations but lower than the revised February figure of 3.0%. In April, ADP employment added 62,000 jobs, a significant drop from March's 147,000. David Hernandez, a crypto investment expert at 21Shares, pointed out: "Federal funds futures now show that the market expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates more than four times this year. In the context of slowing inflation and signs of economic recession, policymakers' balancing act will be key to market trends in the coming weeks." Kirill Kretov, a senior automation expert at CoinPanel, believes that rate cuts will benefit Bitcoin through a triple mechanism: a weaker dollar, improved liquidity, and declining Treasury yields. "The -0.3% GDP data, combined with President Trump's increased pressure on the Federal Reserve, significantly raises the probability of a dovish policy shift. In the current context of thin Bitcoin liquidity, even moderate capital inflows could lead to a substantial price increase." The market generally believes that weak economic data may force the Federal Reserve to start an easing cycle earlier.
Trump tells Musk: You can stay as long as you want
According to a report by Jinse Finance, U.S. President Trump told Musk, "You can stay as long as you want." Trump stated that Musk has been a great help and has been treated unfairly, and Musk wants to return to his automotive business. Previously reported, on April 23, Musk said that the work of the U.S. Government Efficiency Department (DOGE) is important. He will return to Tesla in May, and the time allocated to the DOGE department will be significantly reduced. "As long as the President is willing, I will spend one or two days a week in the DOGE department."
According to a report by Jinse Finance, U.S. President Trump told Musk, "You can stay as long as you want." Trump stated that Musk has been a great help and has been treated unfairly, and Musk wants to return to his automotive business. Previously reported, on April 23, Musk said that the work of the U.S. Government Efficiency Department (DOGE) is important. He will return to Tesla in May, and the time allocated to the DOGE department will be significantly reduced. "As long as the President is willing, I will spend one or two days a week in the DOGE department."
Trump Calls on Congress to Pass the Largest Tax Cut in U.S. History, Claims Short-term GDP Growth of 3.3 to 3.8%
According to a report by Jinse Finance, an official announcement from the White House states that President Trump has once again urged Congress to pass a "big and beautiful bill," which is the largest tax cut measure in U.S. history. After the bill is passed, it is expected that: In the short term, the actual GDP will grow by 3.3 to 3.8%, and in the long term, the actual GDP will grow by 2.6 to 3.2%; Real wages will increase by $3,300 annually; Middle-class family income will increase by $5,000 annually; 4.1 million new jobs will be created.
According to a report by Jinse Finance, an official announcement from the White House states that President Trump has once again urged Congress to pass a "big and beautiful bill," which is the largest tax cut measure in U.S. history. After the bill is passed, it is expected that: In the short term, the actual GDP will grow by 3.3 to 3.8%, and in the long term, the actual GDP will grow by 2.6 to 3.2%; Real wages will increase by $3,300 annually; Middle-class family income will increase by $5,000 annually; 4.1 million new jobs will be created.
The U.S. actively seeks to engage China through multiple channels in hopes of discussing tariffs
According to a report by Jinse Finance, sources have revealed that recently, the U.S. has proactively reached out to China through various channels, hoping to negotiate on tariff issues. Recently, U.S. President Trump and his trade team have frequently hinted that the U.S. is engaged in trade negotiations with China. International trade negotiation experts and Tan Zhu analyze that the more frequently the U.S. releases such information, the more it reveals its eagerness to push forward the negotiations. From a negotiation perspective, the U.S. is currently the more anxious party. The Trump administration is under multiple pressures, primarily economic pressure, followed by public opinion pressure. Tan Zhu believes that before the U.S. takes substantive actions, China has no need to negotiate with the U.S. However, if the U.S. wishes to engage with China, it is not disadvantageous for China at this stage. China needs to observe and even force out the U.S.'s true intentions, gaining the initiative in both negotiation and confrontation.
According to a report by Jinse Finance, sources have revealed that recently, the U.S. has proactively reached out to China through various channels, hoping to negotiate on tariff issues. Recently, U.S. President Trump and his trade team have frequently hinted that the U.S. is engaged in trade negotiations with China. International trade negotiation experts and Tan Zhu analyze that the more frequently the U.S. releases such information, the more it reveals its eagerness to push forward the negotiations. From a negotiation perspective, the U.S. is currently the more anxious party. The Trump administration is under multiple pressures, primarily economic pressure, followed by public opinion pressure. Tan Zhu believes that before the U.S. takes substantive actions, China has no need to negotiate with the U.S. However, if the U.S. wishes to engage with China, it is not disadvantageous for China at this stage. China needs to observe and even force out the U.S.'s true intentions, gaining the initiative in both negotiation and confrontation.
Trump: The Stock Market is Just a Barometer, Not to be Judged for Its Performance
According to a report by Jinse Finance, U.S. President Trump stated during a cabinet meeting that the stock market is just a barometer, and he does not believe the stock market is all-powerful. The stock market reflects how dire the situation was when we took over from the Biden administration. He refrains from judging the merits of the stock market's condition.
According to a report by Jinse Finance, U.S. President Trump stated during a cabinet meeting that the stock market is just a barometer, and he does not believe the stock market is all-powerful. The stock market reflects how dire the situation was when we took over from the Biden administration. He refrains from judging the merits of the stock market's condition.
Analysis: Mixed U.S. Economic Report May Prompt Fed to Turn Dovish, Benefiting Bitcoin Trend
Odaily Planet Daily News: Recent U.S. economic data has been mixed, including a slowdown in GDP growth, a decline in consumer spending, and a weak job market, leading to market expectations that the Federal Reserve may adopt a dovish stance at its May policy meeting. Analysts believe that if the Federal Reserve slows down rate hikes or considers rate cuts, it will benefit risk assets such as Bitcoin. Citi's Chief Economist Andre Hollenhorst stated that a persistently weak labor market could prompt the Federal Reserve to cut rates faster than the market expects. Currently, the market only anticipates a 50 basis point rate cut by mid-2026. Bitcoin prices have recently fluctuated between $93,000 and $95,000, with investors focusing on the impact of Federal Reserve policy changes on its trend. (The Block)
Odaily Planet Daily News: Recent U.S. economic data has been mixed, including a slowdown in GDP growth, a decline in consumer spending, and a weak job market, leading to market expectations that the Federal Reserve may adopt a dovish stance at its May policy meeting. Analysts believe that if the Federal Reserve slows down rate hikes or considers rate cuts, it will benefit risk assets such as Bitcoin. Citi's Chief Economist Andre Hollenhorst stated that a persistently weak labor market could prompt the Federal Reserve to cut rates faster than the market expects. Currently, the market only anticipates a 50 basis point rate cut by mid-2026. Bitcoin prices have recently fluctuated between $93,000 and $95,000, with investors focusing on the impact of Federal Reserve policy changes on its trend. (The Block)
President Trump on Trade Deal: I Think We Are Doing Very Well
Jinse Finance reports that U.S. President Trump talks about the trade agreement: I think we are doing very well. Previously, it was reported that U.S. President Trump stated that tariffs have not yet taken effect.
Jinse Finance reports that U.S. President Trump talks about the trade agreement: I think we are doing very well. Previously, it was reported that U.S. President Trump stated that tariffs have not yet taken effect.
Trump Claims to Be Brewing a "Beautiful Big Bill" Possibly Bigger Than Tariffs
According to a report by Jinse Finance, U.S. President Trump stated that the "big beautiful bill" currently in the works might be "bigger than tariffs." Trump praised Senate Majority Leader Thune for his legislative efforts and added that Democrats are "trying to block it at every turn," warning that "if they succeed, it would mean a 58% tax increase." Trump reiterated that the proposed spending bill would mean "the largest tax cut in American history."
According to a report by Jinse Finance, U.S. President Trump stated that the "big beautiful bill" currently in the works might be "bigger than tariffs." Trump praised Senate Majority Leader Thune for his legislative efforts and added that Democrats are "trying to block it at every turn," warning that "if they succeed, it would mean a 58% tax increase." Trump reiterated that the proposed spending bill would mean "the largest tax cut in American history."
BlackRock IBIT Bitcoin Holdings Surpass 600,000 Coins, Valued at $56.11 Billion
According to Lookonchain statistics, BlackRock's Bitcoin spot ETF IBIT increased its holdings by 25,430 BTC in the past 7 days, valued at $2.37 billion, bringing the total holdings to 601,209 BTC, valued at $56.11 billion.
According to Lookonchain statistics, BlackRock's Bitcoin spot ETF IBIT increased its holdings by 25,430 BTC in the past 7 days, valued at $2.37 billion, bringing the total holdings to 601,209 BTC, valued at $56.11 billion.