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2025-07-29 Tue
20:30
U.S. API Weekly Crude Oil Stock (10,000 barrels) for the Week Ending July 25
12:15
U.S. July ADP Employment Change (in ten thousands)
12:30
U.S. Q2 Preliminary Real GDP Annualized Quarter-over-Quarter
12:30
U.S. Q2 Preliminary Real Personal Consumption Expenditures Quarter-over-Quarter
12:30
U.S. Q2 Preliminary Real Personal Consumption Expenditures Quarter-over-Quarter
14:30
U.S. EIA Weekly Crude Oil Inventory (10,000 barrels) for the Week Ending July 25
2025-07-30 Wed
18:00
U.S. Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision (Upper Bound) as of July 30
09:37
U.S. Initial Jobless Claims (in ten thousands) for the Week Ending July 26
12:30
U.S. June Core PCE Price Index Year-over-Year
2025-07-31 Thu
20:30
Foreign Central Banks’ Holdings of U.S. Treasuries for the Week Ending July 24 (Hundred Million USD)
12:30
U.S. July Unemployment Rate
13:45
U.S. S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Final for July
2025-08-1 Fri
17:00
U.S. Total Oil Rig Count for the Week Ending August 1
2025-08-2 Sat
No data
2025-08-3 Sun
14:00
U.S. Factory Orders MoM for June
2025-08-4 Mon
12:30
U.S. Trade Balance for June (billion USD)
13:45
U.S. July S&P Global Services PMI (Final)
14:00
U.S. July ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
No more data.
Flash
- 19:33Powell Avoids Providing September Rate Guidance as US Treasury Yields RiseAccording to Jinse Finance, the bond market is translating Powell's remarks into a sell-off of U.S. Treasuries. Since 2:30 p.m. Eastern Time, when Powell began answering reporters' questions, yields have been rising, in sharp contrast to the decline in yields that followed the Federal Reserve's earlier split decision at 2:00 p.m. to keep rates unchanged. Powell avoided giving explicit guidance for the September meeting, stating only that upcoming data would guide monetary policy. The market had previously expected the Fed to cut rates at the September meeting. As a result, the U.S. 10-year yield rose from 4.342% when Powell took the stage to 4.378%.
- 19:33Traders see less than a 50% chance of a rate cut in SeptemberAccording to Jinse Finance, traders now estimate the probability of a rate cut in September to be below 50%, compared to around 60% before the meeting.
- 19:27Analyst: Fed Rate Cut Expectations for September Cool Down, but Markets Still Seem to Be Waiting for a SignalAccording to ChainCatcher, market analysts have noted that, frankly, the current decline in U.S. stocks is surprisingly modest, with the S&P 500 currently down just 0.4%. Yesterday, the market placed a 68% probability on a Fed rate cut in September, but that likelihood has now sharply dropped to only 45%. Despite such a significant shift in policy expectations, the market has not seen a more pronounced sell-off, reflecting the resilience of investor sentiment, or perhaps investors are still waiting for further confirmation signals.