Bitcoin News Update: Crypto Market's "Extreme Fear" Index Hits 15—Could This Indicate a Historical Bottom?
- Crypto Fear & Greed Index hits 15 ("extreme fear"), with Bitcoin trading below $90,000 after 30% drawdown from $126,000 peak. - $3.5B ETF outflows in November and $4.6B stablecoin cap contraction highlight liquidity strains, while Kaspa (KAS) and Quant (QNT) see isolated gains. - 10x Research notes historical correlation between index lows (<5) and market bottoms, citing March 2025 $76,000 Bitcoin floor as precedent. - Crypto IPOs face 31% average Q4 decline, with 2026 recovery expected amid macroeconomi
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has dropped to 15, placing it in the "extreme fear" category and highlighting ongoing investor caution, even as sentiment has shown slight improvement. This index, which gauges market emotions on a scale from 0 to 100, paints a picture of a market where
Bitcoin (BTC-USD) remains below its record highs from October, consolidating around $87,000 after falling 30% from its peak above $126,000. The decline has been worsened by outflows from ETFs, with $3.5 billion pulled from Bitcoin exchange-traded funds in November alone—the largest monthly withdrawal since February
Despite Bitcoin’s ongoing struggles, a few altcoins have managed to outperform the broader market.
Historically, such low fear readings have often come before market bottoms, according to 10x Research. Their proprietary index recently hit a record low below 5, with its 21-day moving average at 10%—a level that has frequently marked tactical lows
Bitget CEO Gracy Chen pointed to early signs of improving sentiment, noting the index’s rise to 20 could be an early indicator of renewed optimism
Market unease goes beyond price movements. The crypto downturn has affected U.S. initial public offerings (IPOs), with crypto-focused firms like Grayscale Investments and BitGo Holdings facing tougher listing environments. New crypto IPOs this year have seen an average 31% drop in their first quarter, adding to investor caution
With the Fear & Greed Index lingering near all-time lows, the market is waiting for new catalysts to break the deadlock. Some experts see this as a buying window, while others warn that institutional caution and challenging macroeconomic conditions—like strict central bank policies—could keep the market in a consolidation phase for longer
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
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