Bitget US Stock Daily | Tariff Ruling Suspense to Be Revealed This Week; Fed Officials' Interest Rate Debate Intensifies; Metals Surge with Gold and Silver Hitting New Highs (26/01/07)

I. Hot News

Federal Reserve Dynamics

Officials' Signals on Interest Rate Paths Diverge, Policy Uncertainty Intensifies

• Richmond Fed President Barkin emphasized that policy needs to finely balance between inflation and employment, with rates approaching neutral levels.
• Fed Governor Milan indicated that data points to more aggressive easing, with rate cuts possibly exceeding 100 basis points this year.
• Market Impact: Senior-level divergences may amplify investors' volatility expectations for Fed decisions, potentially triggering adjustment trends in bond and stock markets in the short term.

International Commodities

Metal Market Heat Continues, Gold and Silver Rebound Strongly

• Gold returns above $4,500, with silver rising over 1% and breaking through $82.
• Industrial metals lead the way, with LME nickel up over 10%, LME copper hitting new highs for two consecutive days and then rising 3%, holding steady at $13,000.
• Market Impact: Strong demand combined with geopolitical risks may further elevate inflation pressures and increase costs for downstream industries.

Macroeconomic Policy

US Supreme Court Fast-Tracks Review of Trump Tariff Proposal, Earliest Ruling on Friday

• The focus of the review is on the legality of "reciprocal tariffs" and "fentanyl tariffs" under the 1977 International Emergency Economic Powers Act, with opinion day set for January 9.
• Trump's camp discusses paths for acquiring Greenland, including purchasing the island or military intervention, positioned as a security priority.
• Market Impact: The ruling will reshape the trade policy framework, potentially deepening global supply chain turmoil and stimulating fluctuations in imported goods prices.

II. US Stock Market Recap

Index Performance

• Dow Jones: Up 0.99%, refreshing historical records, driven by both technology and energy stocks.
• SP 500: Up 0.62%, continuing to hit new highs, with overall market sentiment high and weekly gains further expanding.
• Nasdaq: Up 0.65%, with chip and AI concept stocks strongly pulling up, becoming the core driver of the index's rise.

Tech Giants Dynamics

• Tesla: Down 4.14%, pressured by intense competition in the EV market and demand uncertainty.
• Apple: Down 1.83%, dragged by supply chain bottlenecks and weak consumer electronics demand.
• Google A: Down 0.7%, with a slight pullback triggered by slowing ad revenue growth.
• Nvidia: Down 0.47%, still facing high valuation tests in the short term under AI boom support.
• Meta: Up 0.28%, buffered by strong smart hardware sales.
• Microsoft: Up 1.2%, with stable growth in cloud computing and software business as the foundation for the rise.
• Amazon: Up 3.38%, driven by significant rebound in e-commerce and cloud services dual lines. 

Overall, tech giants show clear differentiation, with optimistic expectations for AI and storage demand supporting most stocks, but competition and valuation factors causing pressure on some.

Sector Movements Observation

Storage Concept Stocks Up Over 10%

• Representative Stocks: SanDisk up 27.56%, Western Digital up over 16%, Micron Technology up 10.02%.
• Driving Factors: Nvidia executives highlight the strategic position of memory storage in AI computing, sparking market demand expectations.

Healthcare Sector Up 1.96%

• Representative Stocks: Moderna surges nearly 11%.
• Driving Factors: BofA Global Research raises target price, with institutions optimistic about vaccine and biopharmaceutical innovation potential.

Data Center Cooling Equipment Stocks Down Over 6%

• Representative Stocks: Johnson Controls down 6%, Modine Manufacturing down 7%.
• Driving Factors: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang states that next-generation chips are compatible with liquid cooling without additional units, reducing prospects for traditional cooling equipment demand.

III. In-Depth Stock Analysis

1. Nvidia - CFO Revenue Outlook More Positive

Event Overview: Nvidia CFO Colette Kress revealed that customer demand strongly exceeds expectations, making the company's October last year target of $500 billion in data center chip revenue by the end of 2026 more optimistic. Since the forecast was announced, interest in AI chip orders has continued to rise. The company also emphasizes the core role of memory and storage in the future AI ecosystem, sparking vitality in the industry chain. Market Interpretation: Institutions such as Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley analyze that the AI infrastructure investment wave will persist, with Nvidia's dominant position stable, but supply chain shortage risks need vigilance. Investment Insights: AI-themed funds are worth deploying, with short-term pullbacks potentially serving as entry opportunities, but valuation bubbles need assessment.

2. Meta Platforms - Smart Glasses Hot Sales Delay Overseas Expansion

Event Overview: Meta's Ray-Ban Display smart glasses have exploded in demand after launch, with waitlists extending into after 2026. As a result, the company has shelved its original plan for international expansion in early 2026, including markets like the UK and France, prioritizing US supply assurance and reviewing global capacity allocation strategies to alleviate bottlenecks. Market Interpretation: Wedbush analysts believe this reflects the huge potential of AR/VR consumer electronics, but capacity constraints may restrict short-term revenue growth. Investment Insights: Reinforces Meta's leading edge in the metaverse, suitable for long-term allocation, but pay attention to supply chain improvement dynamics.

3. Nebius - Becomes One of Nvidia's First Rubin Cloud Providers

Event Overview: Nebius announced it will launch Nvidia's Vera Rubin NVL72 GPU clusters in the US and Europe in the second half of 2026, as one of the first AI cloud service providers. The company will integrate it into its existing AI cloud and Token Factory platforms, supporting customers in developing regionalized AI solutions. Market Interpretation: Institutions like BofA raise target prices, expecting the collaboration to double Nebius's cloud computing competitiveness and benefit from AI demand explosion. Investment Insights: As an emerging star in AI infrastructure, Nebius has potential, but execution landing risks need monitoring.

4. Moderna - BofA Target Price Raise Triggers Stock Surge

Event Overview: Moderna's stock surged nearly 11%, benefiting from BofA Global Research's target price upgrade. The firm is optimistic about the company's mRNA vaccine pipeline and inflammation therapy progress, driving the healthcare sector up 1.96% overall. Market Interpretation: Analysts highlight the long-term value of mRNA technology but remind of post-pandemic demand fluctuations increasing uncertainty. Investment Insights: Biotechnology volatility is high, preferably diversify risks through healthcare ETFs.

5. Eli Lilly - Plans Over $1 Billion Acquisition of Ventyx

Event Overview: The Wall Street Journal reports that Eli Lilly is close to completing the acquisition of Ventyx, with the deal amount exceeding $1 billion. Ventyx focuses on inflammatory disease drugs, and this merger will enrich Eli Lilly's related product line. Market Interpretation: Piper Sandler and others believe this accelerates Eli Lilly's diversification, but integration costs need attention. Investment Insights: Highlights the pharmaceutical merger boom, investors can follow up on official announcements.

IV. Today's Market Calendar

Data Release Schedule

Important Event Preview

• Federal Reserve Officials' Speeches: All day - Focus on further statements on interest rate paths, which may influence market expectations.
• Corporate Earnings Season Warm-Up: Multiple tech companies release preliminary guidance - Focus on AI and semiconductor sector dynamics.

Bitget Research Institute Views:

Based on the strong performance of the three major US stock indices rising collectively and refreshing records on January 6, renowned investment bank analysts hold an optimistic consensus for the 2026 market. The Wall Street Journal summary shows that SP 500 target levels are mostly concentrated in the 7500-8000 range, benefiting from AI investment heat and potential Fed rate cuts. Strategists from JPMorgan and BofA point out that strong corporate earnings growth will support annual returns exceeding 10%, despite high valuations. Investopedia reminds that AI bubble concerns and geopolitical uncertainties may intensify volatility, suggesting balanced allocation in technology and defensive assets. Seeking Alpha analysis emphasizes that chip stocks leading the gains highlight demand resilience, but inflation rebound risks may constrain policy space. Overall, positive sentiment dominates, but risk control is essential.

Disclaimer: The above content is organized by AI search, with manual verification for publication only, and does not constitute any investment advice.