Algo Slides 0.24% as Both Short-Term and Yearly Results Remain Subdued
- Algo (ALGO) fell 0.24% in 24 hours, marking a 51.21% annual decline amid three-week losing streak. - Technical indicators show oversold RSI (30) and bearish moving average crossover, lacking reversal momentum. - 30-day backtest of 10%+ drops revealed no reliable price recovery, with gains fading and win rates below 40%. - Market analysis suggests "buy-the-dip" strategy lacks risk-adjusted returns, urging focus on fundamentals or macroeconomic shifts.
As of November 15, 2025, ALGO experienced a 0.24% decrease over the previous 24 hours, settling at $0.1632. The asset has fallen 13.56% over the last week, marking its third straight week of declines. On a monthly basis, ALGO is down 8%, and over the past year, it has lost nearly 51.21% of its value. This ongoing downward trend casts doubt on the asset’s medium-term attractiveness to investors, even considering its history of volatility and speculative nature.
This recent correction reflects a broader shift in sentiment throughout the cryptocurrency market, as participants reassess their risk tolerance amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty. Although ALGO continues to trade within a defined range, major technical signals do not indicate a clear short-term direction. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is close to 30, hinting at possible oversold conditions, but this is not matched by an uptick in buying activity. Additionally, the 20-day moving average has slipped below the 50-day average, further supporting a bearish outlook in
Backtest Hypothesis
A recent event-study backtest reviewed ALGO’s performance after daily drops of 10% or more between January 1, 2022, and November 15, 2025. The analysis found 29 such instances over a 30-day window. Although there was an average rebound of about 0.3% the day after each decline, these gains quickly faded. By the fifth day, the average cumulative return had turned negative and remained so throughout the 30-day period. The win rate also steadily decreased, dropping below 40% after the first two weeks. Importantly, none of the post-event return periods reached standard levels of statistical significance, suggesting that relying on historical price recoveries is not a dependable buy-the-dip approach.
The results indicate that purchasing ALGO after a 10% drop has not provided a risk-adjusted advantage over simply holding the asset. This is consistent with the current technical setup, where momentum is weak and there is no obvious trigger for a price reversal. Investors and traders may need to focus on factors beyond price movements—such as changes in project fundamentals or broader economic trends—that could potentially shift market sentiment.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
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