Fed rate cut bets surge as initial jobless claims data confirms labor market weakness
BlockBeats News, on September 11, this Thursday, a U.S. government report showed that initial jobless claims surged to a nearly four-year high. The short-term interest rate futures market continues to increase bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts, shifting from expecting at least two rate cuts by the end of this year, to betting on four consecutive rate cuts from September to January next year, to fully pricing in three rate cuts within this year, meaning the Federal Reserve will cut rates at all remaining meetings this year.
However, the August CPI increase was stronger than expected, which may prevent the Federal Reserve from starting aggressive rate cuts. The probability of a 50 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September rose slightly from 8% before the announcement to 10.9%. (Golden Ten Data)
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