USDTPLN rises 13.79% over 7 days as market experiences turbulence

On September 6, 2025, USDTPLN saw a 2.75% increase in the past 24 hours, reaching $3.634. Over the last week, the pair climbed 13.79%. This surge followed a steep 30.2% drop in the previous month and a massive decline of 1223.11% over the year, underlining the asset’s pronounced price swings.

This week’s recovery hints at a potential short-term shift in the downward trend that has persisted for USDTPLN recently. Experts believe that the latest upswing could be a sign of stronger stability in the asset’s peg and better liquidity on major trading platforms. While the monthly loss remains significant, the notable rise in the past week has attracted the interest of traders looking for a possible near-term rebound.

Technical analysis presents a mixed picture. Both the 50-period and 200-period moving averages continue to signal a bearish crossover, supporting the longer-term downward movement. In contrast, the relative strength index (RSI) has started to recover, entering overbought conditions for the first time in weeks. This contrast between trend and momentum indicators could point to a changing sentiment among market participants.

Backtest Hypothesis

To evaluate the significance of USDTPLN’s recent moves, historical price data was analyzed using a backtesting strategy. This method relies on a dual moving average crossover, with the 20-period and 50-period averages used to generate signals. A buy is activated when the 20-period average rises above the 50-period, and an exit is triggered when the reverse occurs.

This backtesting method aims to capture momentum in the short-to-medium term while minimizing noise from daily price swings. In the last month, this approach would have resulted in one long trade after a period of losses, corresponding with the recent week’s advance. Although further adjustments may be needed to optimize performance, the latest price trend offers momentum-focused traders an opportunity to re-enter with clear risk controls.