Key takeaways:

  • A whale bet $23.7 million targeting Bitcoin at $200,000 by year-end, signaling strong bullish conviction.

  • Analysts say Bitcoin remains bullish, but $115,000 will be key for uptrend continuation.


Bitcoin ( BTC ) took out bid liquidity on Friday as an unknown trader made a significant bullish bet targeting a BTC price of $200,000 by the end of the year. 

Bitcoin grabs $115K liquidity as whale bets on $200K BTC price by year-end image 0 BTC/USD four-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/ TradingView

Whale bets $23.7 million on much higher BTC prices

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD slicing through nearby resistance to hit $114,960.

As Cointelegraph reported , the move sparked massive long liquidations across Bitcoin markets, totaling $130 million in the past 24 hours.

Related: Bitcoin consolidation expected to end with impulse move to $135K: Data

Monitoring resource CoinGlass showed liquidity being replenished lower down on exchange order books.

Bitcoin grabs $115K liquidity as whale bets on $200K BTC price by year-end image 1 BTC liquidation heatmap. Source: CoinGlass

Despite this drop, which brings a pause to Bitcoin’s rally, the bullish conviction remains. As Deribit analysts noted , a whale recently went long BTC with a $23.7 million position targeting as high as $200,000 by the year’s end.

This was a complex trade that involved a bull call spread, which limits both potential gains and losses.

“The Dec $140K-$200K call spread dominates, buying low Dec $140K IV, funded by higher IV $200K calls,” Deribit Insights wrote, adding that the “Call spreads bet on an imminent ATH break.”

2) The Dec 140-200k Call spread dominates, buying low Dec 140k IV, funded by higher IV 200k Calls.

A zero cost Jul25 124k - Aug29 140k Call spread bets on an imminent ATH break.

But otherwise, 2-way (net selling) of 130+150k Calls, and Aug102-Sep150k Strangles pressure IV. pic.twitter.com/7zhLW41wHV

— Deribit Insights (@DeribitInsights) July 20, 2025

Market attention is always drawn to such positions, as similar whale trades have influenced the price trajectory considerably in recent weeks.

Recently, a Satoshi-era whale awakened after 14 years of dormancy and moved $9.6 billion worth of Bitcoin, sparking correction concerns among market observers.

Bitcoin “remains bullish”

A break below the $115,000 range low was what traders needed to decide whether to add or reduce exposure.

“Bitcoin finally broke out of its range, but this isn’t capitulation, it’s a rotation-led correction,” said asset manager Swissblock in a Friday post on X. 

The Bitcoin risk index, a metric that gauges the likelihood of significant BTC price drawdowns, is currently at zero. This indicates that there is “no overheating” and the bullish structure remains intact, Swissblock said, adding:

“The trend remains bullish. Corrections at low risk levels = opportunity, not exit.”
Bitcoin grabs $115K liquidity as whale bets on $200K BTC price by year-end image 2 Bitcoin risk index. Source: Swissblock

Analyst Daan Crypto Trades said that the $115,000 range low needed to hold to secure the uptrend.

“A breakdown from this range should lead to a retest of $113,500 next, which could be a decent level to look out for if that happens.”
Bitcoin grabs $115K liquidity as whale bets on $200K BTC price by year-end image 3 BTC/USD two-hour chart. Source: Daan Crypto Trades

As Cointelegraph reported , the $115,000 support level is key as a daily candlestick break and close below it may accelerate selling as short-term buyers rush to the exit. That could sink the pair to $110,530, where the buyers would be expected to step in.