Bull market checklist:
— Arthur Hayes (@CryptoHayes) June 26, 2025
– UST SLR exemption progressing
– Genius Act hands US stablecoin mrkt to banks, next essay will explain y +ve
– Ignore the reality, Trump, Bibi, and Kahmenei are all pretending the conflict is finished so investors should too $BTC ATHs are coming 😘😘
BTC Eyes $112K As Markets Climb To New Highs
By:Cointribune
Wall Street is breaking records one after another, and crypto is holding its breath. While the Nasdaq and S&P 500 are trading at historic highs, the possibility of monetary easing by the Fed is rekindling bullish scenarios. In this climate of optimism, the question arises: is bitcoin ready to cross a new symbolic threshold ? With favorable macroeconomic signals and a renewed institutional interest, the hypothesis of BTC surpassing $112,000 is resurfacing, driven by the momentum of traditional markets.

In Brief
- US futures markets, including the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, have reached new all-time highs.
- This surge in traditional markets is supported by geopolitical easing and hopes for a Fed rate cut as early as July.
- Analysts like Jeff Mei and Arthur Hayes believe Bitcoin could surpass $112,000 if current conditions hold.
- If fundamentals remain strong, Bitcoin could enter a new price discovery phase, but uncertainties persist.
Wall Street is on fire : futures markets at record territory
Last Thursday, US stock indices reached historic highs, fueling investor euphoria. S&P 500 futures hit a new peak at 6,145 points, surpassing their previous February high, while Nasdaq Composite futures climbed to 20,180 points.
This move marks an impressive 23% rise in the S&P 500 since its drop on April 8. “US equity futures are approaching historic highs, supported by geopolitical easing and expectations of Fed rate cuts,” said Nick Ruck, director at LVRG Research.
Several key factors explain this bullish momentum in futures markets :
- Geopolitical calm : the ceasefire between Israel and Iran appears to be holding, reducing geostrategic uncertainty ;
- Reassuring monetary signals : investors interpret Fed statements as a possible opening for rate cuts as early as July, according to Yahoo Finance ;
- Relaxation of trade tensions : fears of tightening customs policies seem to have eased ;
- A general resurgence of confidence: traders are gradually reentering risky assets, supported by a macroeconomic environment perceived as more favorable.
These factors create a favorable environment for risk-taking across all asset classes, including cryptos. If traditional markets indeed set the tone, all eyes now turn to bitcoin, on the lookout for a new tipping point.
Bitcoin faces resistance : towards a new price discovery phase ?
Despite the favorable environment created by traditional markets, bitcoin still struggles to break a decisive threshold. Three times this week, the crypto failed to break the $108,000 mark before retreating Thursday evening to around $107,400.
Markus Thielen, head of research at 10x Research, highlights that “many traders have sold covered call options against their BTC positions, which limits price momentum and volatility.” This technical pressure, arising from defensive hedging strategies, acts as a temporary brake on the market’s bullish push.
However, some observers believe fundamentals remain solid. Jeff Mei, COO of exchange BTSE, considers that “conditions are in place for bitcoin to surpass its previous peak of about $112,000, especially now that the Iran-Israel conflict seems behind us.”
Meanwhile, Arthur Hayes, founder of BitMEX, stated on X that “all-time highs are coming.” He notably cites progress in discussions around stablecoin regulation in the US as a catalyst.
In this context, if the Fed does indeed start a monetary pivot as early as this summer, institutional flows could pick up again, triggering a new price discovery phase for bitcoin prices .
With PCE inflation stabilized at 2.3%, the market now has an additional signal that could reinforce the Federal Reserve’s trajectory toward rate cuts this summer. This figure further fuels investor optimism, both in traditional markets and in crypto. For bitcoin, this environment of monetary easing, coupled with a more favorable regulatory and geopolitical dynamic , could create the conditions for a decisive break above $112,000. If the current resistance gives way, the market could well enter a new price discovery phase, with all the uncertainties but also opportunities that entails.
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Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
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