Bitcoin Halving History Provides Little Guidance on Outcome: Coinbase
The block reward halving event is often viewed positively as it enhances the cryptocurrency’s prospective scarcity, the report said.
It is possible that the , expected in second-quarter 2024, will have a positive impact on the cryptocurrency’s performance, but that’s not a foregone conclusion, Coinbase (COIN) said in a report Wednesday.
“Getting a clear picture of how markets reacted to previous bitcoin halving episodes requires disentangling the effect of liquidity, rates and U.S. dollar movements,” analyst David Duong wrote.
The halving of the block reward is often viewed positively because it enhances bitcoin’s “prospective scarcity” and supports its supply/demand dynamics, the note said. When occurs, rewards are cut by 50%.
Still, with only three recorded halving events in the past, evidence of how markets react is limited, the note added. It is difficult to see a clear pattern, particularly as the events were “contaminated by factors like global liquidity measures,” the report said.
Coinbase says global liquidity appears to have peaked in the near term, noting that there's still another 9-10 months till the next halving, “which makes it unclear what the net effect on bitcoin’s price behavior might be.”
Retail demand for the largest cryptocurrency is likely to remain strong ahead of the event, according to Wall Street giant JPMorgan (JPM).
Edited by Sheldon Reback.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
VIPBitget VIP Weekly Research Insights
The Base chain has recently seen several major strategic developments: Coinbase has integrated DEX routing for Base on its main app, bridging the gap between CeFi and DeFi liquidity; Shopify has partnered with Base to expand real-world applications and user access points. At the same time, Circle and Coinbase stocks have surged by over 700% and 50% respectively, creating a wealth effect that may spill over into the Base ecosystem—boosting both its TVL and token prices. Recommended projects include: 1) AERO (Aerodrome)—The leading DEX on Base, showing strength despite market downturns; well-positioned to benefit from Coinbase integration. 2) BRETT—A flagship memecoin on Base with over 840,000 holders; likely to lead the next Base memecoin rally. 3) New tokens on Bitget Onchain—Offer early access to emerging Base memecoins while helping users avoid high-risk tokens.
VIPBitget VIP Weekly Research Insights
Recent bullish news surrounding a potential Solana ETF has reignited market optimism. The SEC has asked issuers to update their S-1 filings, signaling that ETF approval could be near. This development has boosted confidence in the Solana ecosystem. As a high-performance Layer-1 blockchain, Solana (SOL) offers fast transactions and low fees, making it a hub for DeFi and NFT activity, while also drawing increasing institutional interest. Jito (JTO), the leading liquid staking protocol on Solana, saw its token surge 17% after JitoSOL was included in a Solana ETF prospectus. Its MEV optimization further enhances network value. Jupiter (JUP), Solana's top DEX aggregator with a 95% market share, recently launched a lending protocol, highlighting strong growth potential. These tokens offer investors early exposure ahead of a possible ETF approval and a chance to benefit from Solana's expanding ecosystem.
Can Solana Ride the Nasdaq Hype to Close Q2 Above $160?
Solana's price rise is fueled by renewed institutional interest and growing trader participation, positioning SOL for a potential breakout above $160.
Bitcoin: Scarcity Deepens With Every Block Mined
Crypto prices
More
