アルトコインシーズン指数

Altcoin season is a hot topic in the crypto space, marking a period when altcoins outperform Bitcoin. Typically triggered by capital moving from Bitcoin into alternative cryptocurrencies, altcoin season captures investor excitement with rapid gains in leading altcoin projects. One of the best ways to track this phenomenon is the Altcoin Season Index—a metric that measures whether a majority of the top 100 altcoins have outperformed Bitcoin over the past 90 days. If the altcoin season index is above 75, the market is officially in altcoin season; readings below 25 indicate Bitcoin dominance. Bitcoin’s recent run to a new all-time high of $123,180 has begun to cool, with capital and investor focus increasingly shifting towards altcoins. This backdrop sets the stage for wider altcoin growth. This analysis covers the latest altcoin performance, the newest technical signals, current catalysts fueling the trend, and the sectors most likely to benefit as the next altcoin season approaches. Latest Altcoin Performance: Leaders and Breakout Movers Altcoin season anticipation is rising as established tokens and fresh projects experience strong growth. As of July 21, 2025, Stellar (XLM) is leading the pack, surging 74% for the week to trade at $0.527. Cardano (ADA) is up 23% at $1.004, and Ripple (XRP) has gained 21% this week to reach $3.92. Dogecoin (DOGE) remains a retail favorite, now at $0.329 after a 16% increase. Among innovative altcoins, Sei (SEI) reached $0.416 after a 27% jump, while Ethena (ENA) sits at $0.548, rising 21% over seven days. These gains underscore the market’s renewed appetite for both legacy and emerging altcoins. Research from Delphi Digital notes that well-established coins like ADA, XLM, and XRP have even outperformed recent “hot topic” tokens in themes like AI and DePIN since the start of 2024. This rotation hints at both retail and institutional investors returning to proven projects as the possibility of a widespread altcoin season looms. Technical Analysis: Shifting Market Structure The altcoin season index trend is supported by clear shifts in technical and market structure. Bitcoin dominance has fallen to 48.2% (down from 53% in June), often a precursor to altcoin season as more capital chases returns in the broader altcoin market. The TOTAL3 index, which tracks the cumulative market cap of all crypto assets except Bitcoin and Ethereum, has entered what analysts call “Banana Zone 2.0”—a stage common before explosive altcoin rallies. Source: Techflow Trading volumes for major and mid-tier altcoins have climbed 23% month-over-month, highlighting not just speculation but an uptick in actual usage and inflows. Ethereum is stabilizing near $3,089, and the ETH/BTC pair remains firm around 0.025. A breakout in this pairing historically signals acceleration for an altcoin season. Key Catalysts for Altcoin Season 2025 The environment is primed for an altcoin season, with several catalysts converging. First among them is the surge of institutional adoption via spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, driving new liquidity into crypto markets. As ETF capital diversifies, altcoins—especially those pegged as next in line for ETF inclusion like Solana (SOL), which jumped 13% this week to $238—are seeing rising demand. Technological upgrades such as Layer 2 innovations (Arbitrum, Optimism, and more) are reducing fees and speeding up networks, making DeFi, NFTs, and other crypto applications more accessible and attractive. The market is also responding to new narratives, including blockchains integrated with AI, rapid growth in real-world asset (RWA) tokenization, and the rising popularity of blockchain gaming. Sectors to Watch for the Next Altcoin Season Certain sectors are positioned for significant gains if the altcoin season index continues higher. Enterprise-grade tokens are gaining adoption as balance sheet reserves; Solana’s fast, scalable network is leading in both RWA and DeFi integration. Tron (TRX) is vital for stablecoin settlements, with USDT circulation on Tron now above 50%. ETF-linked tokens like SOL, XRP, DOGE, ADA, and others are drawing in speculative and institutional capital, fueled by strong ETF inflow trends (Bitcoin ETFs now manage over $150 billion, and Ethereum ETFs more than $15 billion). The RWA sector is booming, with protocols like BlackRock’s BUIDL fund, Ondo, and Centrifuge collectively managing billions in tokenized real-world assets. Chainlink provides the core oracle tech for this wave, bridging traditional finance with crypto settlements. Decentralized finance (DeFi) is thriving, with Q2 2025 DEX volumes hitting $876 billion—a 6.2% jump from the last quarter. Major DEX platforms like Uniswap, PancakeSwap, and Raydium are driving ecosystem activity, exemplified by viral movements in Solana’s Letbonk.fun, which propelled BONK and RAY prices higher. Stablecoins have reached a legal milestone with the passage of the GENIUS Act on July 19, 2025, confirming their regulatory clarity in the US. These assets are now at the center of on-chain and institutional finance, acting as key units of account and bridges across DeFi and RWA protocols. Conclusion: Altcoin Season Outlook and Strategic Insights The current altcoin season index may not confirm a historic altcoin season yet, but all signs point to an impending shift. Declining Bitcoin dominance, rising altcoin volume, surging DeFi activity, and regulatory wins for stablecoins and ETFs are setting the stage for a potential altcoin market breakout. To capitalize on this trend, investors should closely monitor changes in the altcoin season index, track new ETF approvals, follow the momentum in DeFi and RWA, and stay informed on upcoming regulatory changes. Altcoin season is building momentum, and those prepared will be well-placed to benefit as 2025’s altcoin opportunities unfold.

Let’s get one thing out of the way: this is not 2017 crypto anymore. Gone are the days when trading was a chaotic free-for-all, ruled by whoever could stare at charts the longest or spot a breakout first on some obscure Telegram channel. Markets have grown up; so have the players, and so have the stakes. The speed race is over. The arms race is over. The winners aren’t just those who move fastest, but those who know what matters before anyone else does. That’s the pivot point: the edge has shifted from pure muscle to raw intelligence. The new apex predator isn’t some sleep-deprived chart-watcher, but the agent that never blinks, never forgets, and sees through the noise in real time. We are entering the era of AI trading agents, and no, this isn’t just another “bot”. AI trading agents are something fundamentally different, and anyone not paying attention is already behind. Why The Old Playbook Is Finished Think about how trading actually works so far. One minute you’re watching price action, the next you’re diving into on-chain flows, then back to sentiment, then some whale wallet just moved and the entire story changes again. Human bandwidth? Sorry, not enough. Manual analysis? Charming, but quaint, and easily as well as completely outgunned by the deluge of market signals and machine-driven reactions happening every second. The “lone genius trader” myth is cracking. Even teams of analysts and developers, with all their dashboards, are struggling to keep up with the multi-layered, real-time complexity of these markets. In other words, the playbook that worked in the last cycle is crumbling in this one as in: who can best collaborate with machines? What Makes AI Trading Agents Different from Crypto Trading Bots? Let’s get one thing straight: automation changed the game, and bots were the first big leap. They are unblinking, lightning-fast, great at grinding out set strategies and catching what humans miss. Want a grid, a momentum play, or an arbitrage cycle? There’s a bot for that. And on Bitget, automation is sharper than ever; each and every bot is ready-made, reliable, and ruthless at doing exactly what you tell it. But most people still think in binaries: human versus bot or manual versus automated, and that’s where they get stuck. Because AI agents are the new layer above automated bot trading. AI agents are here to make both you and your bots smarter instead of replacing either. A bot follows rules. An agent rewrites them in real time, based on everything that is actually happening, from the charts, your portfolio, your risk, the market’s mood, and a hundred other signals, without you micromanaging. You just say what you want, for example: “Lower my risk next month”, “Catch me the next memecoin rotation”, or “Flag any concentration in my portfolio”, and the agent pivots, recalibrates, and even gives you the heads-up before you run blind into trouble. What does that mean for the future? Simple: bots handle execution, the agent handles orchestration. Now every single trader can run with an AI-powered edge. And the best part is that there’s no learning curve wall. Bots and agents together, side by side, for anyone who wants in. How to Use Bitget GetAgent: Real-World Examples Forget theory, this is how Bitget GetAgent actually responds when you fire off the simplest, sharpest command: “How’s the market today? Any signals I should know about?” Source: Bitget Academy Most so-called AI bots would give you a half-baked headline, a lagging indicator, or a single asset’s trend. First of all, you can see the reasoning process of Bitget GetAgent, meaning its chain of thought and the corresponding actions it took to provide you the answer you need. Source: Bitget Academy In the answer, Bitget GetAgent breaks down the market like a top-tier analyst. Except that it’s faster, broader, and hyper-relevant: ● Sentiment Analysis: Tracks where the crowd is (fear/greed/FOMO/caution). Real-time pulse, not yesterday’s news. ● Cross-Asset Deep Dive: Pulls live data on BTC, ETH, SOL, DOGE, PEPE, whatever is moving today. Hard numbers and the actual trends. ● Technical Analysis: Not just “up or down”, but moving averages, RSI, MACD, breakouts, and consolidation zones across every major coin you hold or watch. Specific entry ranges, resistance, support, and actionable setups. ● Leaderboard & Trends: Scans what’s leading, e.g., top performers, volume leaders, even meme coins, and political tokens. No niche is left behind. ● Critical Signals: Boils it all down to what actually matters for a big picture perspective. ○ ETH leadership? Altcoin season might be here. ○ Broad-based rally? It’s not just one coin pumping, the whole market is moving. ○ Volume confirmation? No rally without real money. ○ Where’s the sentiment? Greed, but not euphoric, hence still safe to ride. ● Trading Strategy: Real, executable calls of “long ETH,” together with entry, target, stop loss, and why. ● Secondary Opportunities: If BGB or SOL is heating up, you get that heads up, too. ● Market Outlook & Catalysts: “Watch ETH above $3,200. BTC’s next move is key. Look for alt rotation.” You see what a pro sees. Bitget GetAgent explains why the signal matters, not just what the signal is. You won’t ever have to switch tabs, hunt for alpha on X, or wait for some Telegram admin to update again. This is what it actually means to collaborate with an AI agent. You get context, rationale, next moves, and, if you want, one-tap execution to act on it. See Bitget GetAgent as your personal AI assistant that is, quite literally, working with you as the new standard for what “trading intelligence” looks like. What Bitget GetAgent Actually Means for the Market Let’s get specific here. Bitget’s GetAgent is the first real build of this new age of AI agents. It is engineered from the ground up as a native AI trading agent built for crypto’s wild volatility and endless nuance. Expect: ● Real-time intelligence, not historical summaries. ● Data isn’t just dumped in your lap. It’s distilled, prioritised, and served when it matters. ● Tailored analysis for your portfolio, your preferences, your trades, your risk—down to the last decimal. For the first time, retail and institutional participants have access to the same grade of intelligence. Bitget GetAgent shrinks that advantage of big, expensive subscriptions and gated analytics to zero. You now have access to information, execution, and professional-grade insight in a single conversational interface. Don’t forget, too, that when one player levels up, the whole ecosystem shifts. Bitget GetAgent is not only an upgrade for Bitget users but also a warning shot to the rest of the industry. You will definitely see an arms race in agent-driven trading, smarter interfaces, and new “baseline” user experiences across every exchange and trading platform. Tools are about to get a lot more democratic, and users are the direct beneficiary of this new norm. What’s Next? Here’s the uncomfortable truth: the market is still a jungle. But the food chain is changing. The new apex predators are traders who harness intelligent agents, work with them, and thus are the ones to own the next era. With Bitget GetAgent, from now on, every serious trader is backed by an agent that sees, learns, and acts at a scale no solo human ever could. Will you work with the agent, or keep trading against the future? For you visionaries, the possibilities are just getting started. Related articles: Bitget GetAgent User Guide Bitget GetAgent - From Information Overload To Effortless Execution

The cryptocurrency market is once again capturing investor attention as Bitcoin price achieves a new all-time high and Solana target price garners bullish forecasts. In this in-depth analysis, we provide the latest insights on the Bitcoin price, explore Solana’s key support and target levels, and examine the outlook for an impending “altcoin season.” Source: CoinMarketCap Current Crypto Market Overview: Bitcoin Price Sets New Records July 2025 has revitalized the digital asset landscape. The bitcoin price recently surged past $121,500 and swiftly broke through the $121,500 barrier, setting yet another record. Shortly thereafter, Bitcoin price continued its momentum to touch $121,500, making headlines across all major exchanges and trading platforms. According to analyst Web3Niels, the $119,000 to $120,000 zone marks a crucial resistance region for Bitcoin. Should the bitcoin price manage a decisive breakout above this threshold, bullish traders could see the next leg taking BTC toward $135,000 to $140,000. On the contrary, if the rally fails to maintain strength, a downward retest of the $114,000 to $115,000 support level remains possible. Trader Daan Crypto Trades also notes major liquidity accumulation between $115,500 to $116,500 as well as just above the $120,000 handle—underscoring these areas as key battlefields for the short-term direction of the bitcoin price. Adding perspective, Rekt Capital observes that Bitcoin's current price discovery phase is in its second consecutive week, referencing a prior historic rally where a similar uptrend lasted for seven weeks. Historical data from independent analyst Markus Thielen further illustrates Bitcoin’s seasonal strength in July, as the asset has closed higher in seven of the last ten years with an average monthly gain of 9.1%. These patterns, coupled with robust market liquidity and supportive macro trends, strengthen the case for Bitcoin eyeing new milestones. Altcoin Market Highlights: Solana Target Price at Center Stage While the spotlight has shone on the latest bitcoin price breakout, the altcoin market—especially Solana (SOL)—is demonstrating noteworthy momentum. In the last 30 days, Solana’s price has appreciated by a remarkable 12.87%, successfully breaking above the $160 resistance level on two occasions. This bullish performance is drawing parallels to its last breakout in April, after which the SOL price surged to a peak of $187 in May. Source: CoinMarketCap Industry analysts including CryptoDona7 and Ali Charts are now predicting that, if the current price action persists, Solana could potentially challenge the $300 barrier before August. Analyst Crypto Dubzy further projects that should Solana break and hold above the $195 threshold, the next Solana target price could range between $257 and $305. Conversely, technical strategist Ali Charts highlights the importance of the $145 to $155 support zone—stating that maintaining this base paves the way for further growth, with short-term upside targets between $200 and $250. In the immediate term, $185 stands out as a crucial resistance level, with sustained buying expected to push the Solana price toward higher objectives. Prominent altcoins such as Ethereum (ETH), BNB, and XRP are also participating in the bullish trend, posting modest but promising gains. Market-wide, enthusiasm for an “altcoin season” is building, as capital appears ready for rotation from Bitcoin into well-positioned altcoins like Solana. Key Drivers Behind the Bitcoin Price Surge The extraordinary surge in the bitcoin price is underpinned by several converging macro and crypto-native factors. The recent rally has been amplified by robust US equity markets, heightened investor confidence due to macroeconomic optimism, and the passage of fiscal stimulus policies such as the “Big Beautiful Bill,” which raises the federal deficit cap. Additionally, historic patterns consistently show July as one of Bitcoin’s strongest months—another catalyst powering its breakout above key resistance zones. Another significant driver is the observed shift in long-term holder (LTH) supply behavior, as accumulation flattens and strategic profit-taking takes center stage. If new investor demand continues to absorb this distributed supply, the bitcoin price could embark on another pronounced uptrend. Conversely, a demand shortfall could lead to cautious retracement. Importantly, recent analysis reveals Bitcoin’s rally is rooted in deeper macroeconomic changes—namely, its emerging role as a hedge against aggressive monetary and fiscal policies, with scheduled Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings at the end of July likely to further define its place in the global financial system. Are We Nearing the Altcoin Season? Despite Bitcoin’s dominance, signs are emerging that an “altcoin season” could soon materialize. While top-tier altcoins have underperformed relative to Bitcoin’s powerful rally, their technical setups and growing institutional interest are encouraging. Solana’s ongoing momentum, backed by strong support and consistently rising targets, exemplifies the market’s renewed confidence. Further anticipation is building around the potential approval of spot altcoin ETFs in the latter half of 2025—a development that could catalyze widespread participation and liquidity inflows for core altcoins. Keen market observers point to parallels with previous market cycles, where an extended Bitcoin rally paved the way for rapid and explosive gains across the altcoin sector. With liquidity accumulating across key support levels, well-capitalized projects like Solana are poised to take the lead should sentiment continue to turn in favor of risk assets. Conclusion: Navigating the Path Forward As the bitcoin price surpasses previous records and Solana pursues ambitious new target levels, the cryptocurrency market stands at a pivotal juncture. Investors are advised to monitor key resistance and support regions, follow macro policy developments, and remain nimble as narrative and capital rotate between Bitcoin and top-performing altcoins. The signs of an upcoming altcoin season are growing stronger, and those who stay informed and prepared will be best positioned to benefit from the next major shift in the crypto landscape.