HyperOne narxiHOT

RT @cointradernik: There will be many more hot inflation prints in the months ahead And the market will still go up

ETH market deep dive with fresh data and a few simple charts for quick “at-a-glance” context. included sources after key facts so you can verify anything important. 1) Snapshot (Aug 15, 2025) Spot price: ~$4,600–$4,650. Most dashboards cluster in this range today. 24h / 7d: ≈ −2.6% / +17.5%. Distance from ATH: $4,878). Recent press notes ETH trading within a few percent of its all-time high. Market cap: Circulating supply ~120.7M ETH; mcap ~mid-$500B at current prices. 2) What’s driving ETH right now A) Spot ETH ETF flows are surging U.S. spot Ether ETFs just posted their second-largest daily/weekly inflow streak on record, with ~$2.3B in three days, led by BlackRock’s ETHA and Fidelity’s FETH. This “catch-up trade” versus BTC has been a key impulse. Multiple outlets report hundreds of millions per day recently; Yahoo Finance also framed August’s ETF inflows at ~$2.3B (≈500k ETH), a figure that even exceeds recent network issuance over comparable windows—net additive demand. Broader ETF context matters: 2025 is a record year for ETF flows across assets, creating a tailwind for risk-on allocations (crypto included). Takeaway: Consistent spot ETF demand mechanically buys underlying ETH, shrinking exchange float and supporting price—especially when it clusters around key technical levels. B) Staking squeezes liquid supply 35M+ ETH is staked—about 28–29% of circulating supply—marking all-time highs for participation and a sustained drain on tradable supply. Multiple independent trackers confirm this range. Why that matters: More staked ETH = less immediately sellable ETH. When new demand (ETFs, DeFi, treasuries) hits a smaller free float, price is more sensitive to incremental buying. C) Macro + rotation Headlines over the last 48 hours describe a “catch-up trade” as ETH pushes near ATH while BTC prints new ones; July saw ETH +49% vs. BTC +8%, per JPMorgan cited by CoinDesk—evidence of a rotation toward ETH and higher-beta L1s. Short-term macro still swings crypto (e.g., U.S. inflation prints), and you could see intraday retraces even within an uptrend. 3) On-chain structure & supply dynamics Circulating supply: +0.36%), reflecting post-Merge economics where burn vs. issuance can keep net supply near flat or mildly deflationary when activity rises. “Ultrasound” dynamics: Several investor notes and dashboards continue to track deflationary tendencies during high usage regimes (fee burn via EIP-1559), though daily direction flips with gas and activity levels. (Estimates vary by period; example analyses highlight multi-hundred-thousand ETH net reductions since launch of burn + Merge era during high-activity bursts.) Validator health / yields: Institutional validators report very high participation and low slashing events; effective yields hover in the ~3–6% band depending on queue and strategy (native vs. liquid staking vs. restaking). Implication: Between stake-locking and periodic fee burns, the liquid and spendable ETH pool grows slowly or even shrinks during busy periods—again supportive to price when demand rises. 4) Technical picture (high-timeframe) (All levels are contextual; use them as zones, not single ticks.) Resistance: The ATH zone ~$4.85–4.90k is the obvious ceiling. Recent pushes to $4.7–4.8k fell just shy; acceptance above $4.90k would put round-numbers $5.0k / $5.2k / $5.5k on the map. Support: On pullbacks, watch $4.45–4.50k (recent daily lows/volume nodes) and deeper $4.2–4.3k (prior breakout shelf). Public dashboards show recent intraday lows in the mid-$4.4k range. Momentum / structure: July’s ETH outperformance vs BTC often precedes multi-week rotation trades into ETH beta (DeFi/L2s). As long as price holds above the prior breakout area and ETF flows stay positive, dips are getting bought quickly. 5) Flows, positioning & microstructure ETFs: Strong net inflows (see §2A). Track BlackRock ETHA & Fidelity FETH flow prints for real-time confirmation of bid. Derivatives: (High-level) In risk-on surges, perpetual funding and open interest can rise fast; when headlines hit (inflation, Fed odds) forced de-leveraging can cause sharp wicks. Keep an eye on perps funding/oi dashboards alongside ETF flow tape. Treasuries & corporates: Axios flagged more corporate balance sheets adding ETH, a structural bid similar (albeit smaller) to BTC treasury adoption. 6) Thematic tailwinds & risks Tailwinds Regulation & access: U.S. spot ETH ETFs broaden access beyond crypto-native venues; several banks and asset managers are leaning into tokenization and stablecoin rails that rely heavily on Ethereum. Staking / restaking: Higher validator counts, steady yields, and restaking ecosystems (EigenLayer, etc.) deepen capital efficiency and lock up more ETH. Activity flywheel: When DeFi/NFT/L2 activity picks up, fee burn increases, tightening net issuance—historically supportive during hot cycles. Risks Macro shocks: Hot inflation prints or growth scares can sap risk appetite, denting crypto broadly (we just saw this whipsaw BTC/ETH intraday). ETF flow reversal: If the ETF bid stalls or flips, spot supply/demand could soften near resistance. Tech/roadmap execution: While upgrades have improved throughput/costs, delays or unforeseen issues can hit sentiment. (Press coverage recently referenced “Pectra” improvements as a positive input, but timelines/features can shift.) 7) Strategy frameworks (not financial advice) For trend followers (swing): Trade breakouts above ~$4.90k with strict risk controls; failed breaks near ATHs can reverse quickly. Use ETF flow prints as confirmation bias (stay long on strong net inflows). On pullbacks, $4.45–4.50k is your first reaction zone. A daily close back inside $4.2–4.3k weakens the trend and argues for patience. For mean-reverters (range): Fade extensions into ATH resistance only when derivatives show crowded longs and ETF flows slow; aim for $4.5–4.6k mid-range scalps. Keep stops tight—momentum can re-ignite quickly near new highs. For allocators (multi-month): Dollar-cost average with a stake-and-restake overlay to harvest protocol yields (3–6% ranges depending on method and risk). Rebalance toward cash or BTC if macro rolls over (watch CPI / payrolls / Fed path). 8) What would invalidate the bull case? 1. ETF net outflows sustained for multiple sessions; 2) Regulatory surprise that crimps staking/ETFs; 3) Macro downside shock that drives USD up/yields up; 4) Technical breakdown below ~$4.2k with rising exchange balances. Quick references you can watch Live price & ATH context: CoinGecko/CoinMarketCap dashboards. Historical prints: Yahoo Finance ETH-USD daily history. Staking share: The Block’s “% ETH staked”, Beaconcha.in charts, and validator reports. ETF flow tape: Daily wrap-ups noting ETHA/FETH flows. The charts I made for you ETH Performance Snapshot (24h vs. 7d) ETH Supply Composition (≈29% staked vs. ≈71% liquid) July 2025 Performance (ETH +49% vs. BTC +8%)

**🌏 Global Trade & Crypto Roundup: Key Developments This Week** 1. **US-China Tariff Truce Extended** The US and China agreed to extend their tariff suspension for **90 days** (until November 10, 2025), averting a surge to **145% US tariffs** and **125% Chinese duties**. The pause aims to stabilize trade ahead of the holiday season and facilitate further negotiations. 2. **DOJ Cracks Down on Ransomware Operator** The US Justice Department seized **$2.8M in crypto**, **$70K cash**, and luxury cars tied to Russian national **Ianis Antropenko**, accused of deploying "Zeppelin ransomware" against 138+ US victims. Funds were laundered via now-defunct mixer ChipMixer. 3. **Crypto Market Plunge Triggers $1B+ Liquidations** Bitcoin (**-3.8%**) and Ethereum (**-4%**) tumbled after a **hot PPI inflation report** (0.9% monthly rise). Analysts call it a "healthy pullback," but leveraged longs faced $1.03B in liquidations—the largest since early August. 4. **Treasury’s Bitcoin Reserve: Bessent Backtracks** Treasury Secretary **Scott Bessent** clarified the US is still exploring **"budget-neutral" Bitcoin buys** for its Strategic Reserve (currently holding **198K BTC worth ~$23.5B**), walking back earlier remarks that spooked markets. 5. **Nakamoto-KindlyMD Merger Targets 1M BTC Treasury** Trump adviser **David Bailey’s** Bitcoin firm merged with **KindlyMD**, creating a Nasdaq-listed entity (**NAKA**) to accumulate Bitcoin. The ambitious goal: **1M BTC**—joining corporate giants like MicroStrategy (628K BTC). --- **Why It Matters**: - **Trade**: The tariff extension eases near-term inflation risks but leaves long-term tensions unresolved. - **Crypto**: Regulatory actions (DOJ seizures) and macroeconomic shifts (inflation) highlight crypto’s volatility—and institutional resilience. - **Bitcoin Adoption**: From Treasury reserves to corporate mergers, Bitcoin’s role as a strategic asset grows despite market swings. *Stay tuned for updates as these stories develop.* --- *Sources: Reuters, Cointelegraph, Yahoo Finance, CoinDesk*

Ethereum Price Forecast: Surge in validator exits and strong PPI inflation reading sparks correction : Ethereum validator exit queue spiked to 727,000 ETH, one of its highest levels over the past year. A higher-than-expected US July PPI print sparked a wave of profit-taking that halted ETH's uptrend. ETH has to hold the $4,500 support to resume its bid for a new all-time high. Ethereum (ETH) dropped by 5% on Thursday following an increase in the amount of coins exiting validator duties and a hot July Producer Price Index (PPI) reading in the US. Validator queue exits and hot PPI print triggers decline Ethereum validator exit queue spiked to over 727,000 ETH worth over $3.2 billion on Thursday with a waiting time of about twelve days, less than 24 hours after the top altcoin approached its all-time high. Validator exit queue represents the total amount of coins waiting to leave transaction validating responsibilities. Such coins could be sold to book profits, redeployed to other DeFi protocols with higher yields, or just held in wallets. Exits far outpace the 277,000 ETH ($1.2 billion) waiting to participate in staking — or validator entry. Some crypto community members have flagged the large exit size as potential profit-taking or deleveraging of looped staked coins due to ETH's strong bullish run since July. Notably, ETH investors have maintained a profit realization rate between $500 million and $1 billion over the past three days, per Santiment data. A higher-than-expected US PPI print for July also sparked a wave of selling activity across the entire crypto market, with ETH seeing a decline of nearly 5% on the day — its highest since August 1. The index surged 0.9% on a monthly basis, above estimates of 0.2% and its steady rate in June. This marks its largest monthly gain since June 2022, pushing the annual rate to 3.3% — exceeding forecasts of 2.5%. "The sharp reversal is a reminder that even the strongest crypto rallies remain tethered to macro forces —especially when inflation surprises force investors to rethink rate-cut timelines," Doug Colkitt. However, strong inflows from ETH exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and treasury companies could help the top altcoin maintain its bullish run. ETH ETFs recorded their second-highest daily net inflows on Wednesday, attracting $729 million, according to data from SoSoValue. The products have seen cumulative net Inflows of over $3 billion in the past seven trading days. Treasury companies, on the other hand, have accumulated 2.5 million ETH since early June, per the Strategic ETH Reserve website, and have outlined plans to expand their holdings by billions of dollars. Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH has to hold the $4,500 support to retest its all-time high Ethereum saw a rejection just above $4,700, less than a hundred dollars from its all-time high of $4,868. The move aligns with a historical supply pressure around this price level, according to Glassnode data. As a result, the top altcoin declined nearly 5% and is looking to find support near the $4,500 level. The price drop sparked $346 million in futures liquidations over the past 24 hours, with long liquidations accounting for $276 million. ETH/USDT daily chart If ETH holds the $4,500 support, it could reattempt a move above its all-time high and rise toward $5,000 to complete the profit target of a bullish pennant. The level is obtained by measuring the height of the pennant and projecting it upward from its breakout point. On the downside, ETH could retest $4,100 if bulls fail to hold the $4,500 support. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Stochastic Oscillator (Stoch) are in their overbought regions but tilted downward. The recent correction aligns with short-term pullbacks often seen after a period of overheated conditions in both indicators. $ETH

🧠 $GHO: The New Stablecoin With a Wild Side — Price Holding or Storm Brewing? ✍️By ProfUseey African Crypto Trader | Web3 Educator | Bitget Insight Contributor Just 24h after watching $GHO/USDT on Bitget, here’s what stood out: 📈 High: 1.0002 USDT 📉 Low: 0.9984 USDT 🚀 Odd spike hitting 1.1238 — for a stablecoin, that’s one wild mood swing. Here’s my read: 1️⃣ Market Maker Testing — That sudden wick to 1.1238 looks like liquidity probing. Market makers are testing how thin the order book is before bigger players join. 2️⃣ New Asset Psychology — Early traders don’t fully trust $GHO yet. The daily fluctuation might seem stable, but that random pump? That’s emotion + bots in action. 3️⃣ Liquidity Depth Matters — At ~687k GHO volume, one whale can still move the chart. True stability comes when daily turnover hits 5M–10M. 🔥 My Trading Plan: Scalp Mode Only — No long-term holding until 14-day average volatility drops below 0.1%. Set Tight Stops — Breaking below 0.998 for long periods could trigger a short-term depeg scare. Watch For News — Aave updates or major listings will decide the real trend. 💬 Debate Time: Can $GHO hold peg better than USDT/USDC long-term? Was that 1.1238 wick a glitch, a bot fight, or a pump attempt? Who’s buying under $0.999 for a “mean reversion” play? ⚡ Your Turn: Drop your hot take below 👇 — I’ll feature the spiciest comment in my next Bitget Insight breakdown. #Crypto #BitgetInsight #Stablecoin #GHO #TradingStrategy #PricePrediction #CryptoNews #MarketAnalysis #Web3 #CryptoTrading #ProfUseey$GHO