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Bitcoin's LTH supply shows signs of market top: Glassnode On-chain analytics firm @glassnode reported on X that the supply held by Bitcoin (BTC) long-term holders (LTH), defined as those who have held for 155 days or more, rose from 13.66 million $BTC in mid-March to 14.29

The cryptocurrency market cap jumped above $3.5 trillion on Tuesday following a weak April CPI at 2.3%. Bitcoin has a 10-week lagging relationship with the global M2 money supply, suggesting that its price could rise further. BTC’s spot Taker buy/sell ratio rose to 1.02, indicating a large influx of funds into the spot market. Ethereum rose 9% as altcoin markets showed new life alongside Bitcoin. Bitcoin (BTC) rose 1.4% on Tuesday to reclaim $104,000, while Ethereum (ETH) also rose 9% after the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for April was released at 2.3%, below market expectations of 2.4%. The upward momentum was supported by a surge in Bitcoin’s spot Taker buy/sell ratio and its continued correlation with the global M2 money supply. Bitcoin poised for further gains, altcoins gain momentum: The total cryptocurrency market cap surpassed $3.5 trillion for the first time since Feb. 2, thanks to a weaker-than-expected April Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. The CPI rose 2.3% on an annualized basis in April, below market expectations of 2.4% — the lowest since February 2021 — and up 0.2% month-over-month. The unadjusted core CPI rose 2.8% on an annualized basis in April, in line with market expectations. Investors quickly took advantage of the weak inflation data, adding buying pressure to major cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin reclaimed the psychological $104,000 mark, edging up 1.4% after a brief dip to $101,700. Bitcoin’s gains were also attributed to President Donald Trump’s call for Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell to cut interest rates. Trump said he should “let it be, and it’s going to be a beautiful thing.” The recent rise in Bitcoin prices also shows that the top-ranked crypto asset continues to maintain its correlation with the global M2 money supply, which it tracks with a 10-week lag. If the historical pattern remains unchanged, Bitcoin prices may hit a new all-time high. Similarly, according to CryptoQuant data, Bitcoin's spot Taker buy/sell ratio on centralized exchanges has soared to around 1.02. The indicator tracks the ratio of aggressive buy/sell orders at the market price. The last time it reached this level was when it bottomed out near $15,000 in 2022 and broke through $30,000 in late 2023. These two breakthroughs were key turning points in the market. CryptoQuant analyst Gaah pointed out: "This pattern is repeating now, with BTC prices close to all-time highs and the indicator also out of long-term selling pressure." Altcoins also showed upward momentum, led by Ethereum, which rose 9% on the day and approached 50% for the week. Driven by the strength of the broader market, the emoji coin sector also rose 4%. Dogecoin (DOGE), PEPE, Shiba Inu (SHIB), and TRUMP led the gains, with gains of 5%, 8%, 4%, and 6%, respectively. The artificial intelligence (AI) token sector also gained 3%, led by Artificial Intelligence Superintelligence (FET), Internet Computer (ICP), and RENDER, which gained 8%, 4.4%, and 4%, respectively. Ethereum outperformed Bitcoin over the past week, sparking concerns that altcoins may be entering a peak season. However, the Altcoin Peak Season Index shows that Bitcoin still dominates. Meanwhile, short traders experienced another day of increased liquidations after the recent rally led to $239.02 million in short liquidations. Ethereum short traders were the main victims, with liquidations worth $109.24 million, nearly three times the $37 million loss on Bitcoin shorts, according to Coinglass. The largest single liquidation occurred when a trader lost $12 million on an ETH/USDT position. The cryptocurrency market’s rebound mirrors gains in U.S. stocks, with the S&P 500 having erased all of its losses following the reciprocal tariffs and up 0.31% year to date, according to Google Finance. $BTC

Ethereum Eyes $4,000 as On-Chain Data Confirms Whale Accumulation and Supply Crunch Ethereum (ETH) has staged a strong comeback this month, helped by the ongoing risk-on sentiment in the crypto market. After 45% gains in May, ETH is now within touching distance of $3,000, a key psychological level. Adding tailwind to this price rally is smart money investors buying dips while the ETH balance on exchanges plummets. Smart Money Buys ETH, Boost Ethereum Price Rally On May 14, Ethereum (ETH) rose 1.73% to hit $2,700 for the first time since February 24. Currently, ETH trades at $2,600 after dropping 4.36% from the daily high. A potential catalyst that may propel ETH to $3,000 and above is accumulation from smart money investors, as spotted by Nansen. The platform tracked 1,922 smart money investors, up from last month’s low of 1,670. It is the highest figure it has been since February this year. They now hold 123,615 ETH coins, up from last month’s low of 86,709. These investors are usually more experienced than retail traders, and their actions, such as accumulation or distribution, tend to impact the underlying asset. In most cases, they are quick to spot potential reversals, as they did in April when the price of Ethereum crashed to $1,380. As the chart above shows, they started buying on April 9 and continued doing so before it went parabolic last week. ETH Supply on Exchanges Falling, Staking Inflows Rise CoinGlass data shows that exchange balances have dropped from a peak of 15.75 million on April 25 to 15.15 million as of May 14. Historically, exchange outflows are usually a bullish factor as the tokens are not readily available to sell during times of panic. On the other hand, exchange inflows is bearish and shows investors are ready to exit their positions. In addition to the smart money accumulation and drop in ETH held on exchanges, Ethereum staking inflows have jumped by 309K tokens, worth roughly $813 million. This massive spike in the last 30 days is a sign that investors believe in the long-term performance of Ethereum price and are staking their coins to earn interest denominated in ETH. All three factors mentioned above provide a clear bullish tailwind that hints at a bullish price prediction for Ethereum. Ethereum Price Analysis: 2 Scenarios to Watch With fundamentals and on-chain metrics clearly bullish, investors need to look to technical analysis on what to expect next for the Ethereum price. Here are two scenarios that Ethereum price can produce next – a continuation of the uptrend to $3,000 or a retracement to key support zone before heading to $4,000. ETH Extends Gains to Revisit $3,000 The daily chart shows that the value of Ethereum (ETH) has jumped, moving from a low of $1,385 in April to $2,700 today. During its ascent, ETH moved swiftly above the key resistance at $2,121, the neckline of the double-top point at $4,080. This development invalidated the view that the rebound was part of a break-and-retest pattern, a common continuation sign. Ether is about to form a mini golden cross pattern as the spread of the 100-day and 50-day Weighted Moving Averages narrows. This suggests that the short-term momentum is clearly bullish. This move could add more fuel to the ongoing ETH price rally and potentially push it to revisit $3,000. The Average Directional Index (ADX), which measures the strength of a trend, has jumped to 36. Therefore, the most likely ETH price forecast is where the coin jumps to $3,000 this week. While the above outlook provides an optimistic outlook, where Ethereum price continues its ascent to hit $3,000. However, a more conservative outlook involves a retracement before ETH hits $3,000 or even $4,000. Retracement to $2,000 Before ETH Hits $4,000 From a price action perspective, the daily chart shows Ethereum has hit the short Point of Interest (POI) at $2,653 and is ready to retrace. A pullback after a near-50% rally is likely, as indicated by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovering in the overbought zone. A closer look at the RSI and Ethereum price shows a clear bearish divergence. A bearish divergence is formed when price produces a higher high while the RSI produces a lower low. This non-conformity signals a lack of momentum that does not support the bullish price action and often leads to a correction. Hence, investors can expect a retracement to the next key support zone – the weekly bullish breaker, extending from $1,872 to $2,069. Investors looking to buy the dip can do so here. A bounce from this area will have allowed bulls to recuperate the momentum and reset the RSI, potentially propelling Ethereum to revisit the first key hurdle at $3,000. A flip of this resistance level into a support floor could make way for ETH to sweep $4,093 and collect the buy-side liquidity resting above the string of equal highs formed around here. To conclude, the overall outlook for Ethereum’s price remains bullish, as supported by on-chain and technical analysis. A breakdown of the weekly support zone at $1,872 will be the first sign of weakness. A decisive daily candlestick close below $1,700 will create a lower low on the daily timeframe and invalidate the bullish thesis. Such a development could see ETH revisit $1,500 or $1,385 support levels $ETH

The artificial intelligence (AI) crypto sector has posted significant gains, with the total market cap for AI-linked altcoins soaring past $41 billion. This surge is largely driven by strong price increases in top tokens such as Bittensor (TAO), Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET), Near Protocol (NEAR), Internet Computer (ICP), and Render (RENDER). This rise in AI altcoins occurs as Bitcoin eyes a breakout above the $105,000 mark , investor appetite for AI-infused blockchain projects is rapidly gaining momentum–and with good reason. TAO has been a standout performer, rising 3.3% in the last day and nearly 27% over the past week. At a major crypto summit in Austin, Contango Digital founder Mike Grantis made a bold prediction that TAO could trade above $62,500 by 2030. Currently trading around $467, this marks a gain of more than 13,000%. Grantis’s reasoning is compelling: unlike Bitcoin, which rose largely on a store-of-value narrative, Bittensor is building a decentralized network that directly incentivizes machine learning. With hundreds of functioning AI subnets, growing developer adoption, and real-world utility, some believe TAO has the kind of long-term growth runway that could dwarf earlier crypto cycles. FET jumped nearly 9% in 24 hours and now trades at $0.8786. Technical indicators suggest that the long-term uptrend is intact, with the price consolidating inside a bullish pennant pattern. Analyst Crypto Kindle believes that once the token breaks above its $1.5 monthly resistance, it could either backtest at $0.80 or enter a full-blown altseason rally toward its previous all-time highs. Near Protocol (NEAR) surged more than 5% to reach $3.23. A significant driver for NEAR was the May 7th news that Bitwise filed for a spot NEAR ETF with the SEC. This marks the first such ETF filing for a Layer 1 blockchain after Ethereum and Solana, immediately positioning NEAR as a contender for serious institutional inflows. This development, coupled with NEAR’s latest protocol upgrade (V77) and the introduction of Chain Signatures (which eliminate the need for wrapped tokens), underscores its technical advancements. NEAR’s presence at AI-focused conferences further solidifies its strategy to become a Layer 1 blockchain anchoring AI activity on-chain. Proof of this AI integration focus includes over 100 developers recently building functioning AI agents on NEAR at a San Francisco hackathon. Internet Computer Protocol (ICP) is nearing the $6 threshold after a 6.25% gain. The 20-day EMA at $5.3 stands as the nearest support for the cryptocurrency. According to analyst Crypto Patel, this level could be the final stage in its accumulation zone. A confirmed breakout above $7.16 could put $15–$18 on the radar, with long-term potential stretching to $79 in a full bull run. RENDER, which provides decentralized GPU rendering for AI and metaverse projects, has also seen a 6.39% jump to $5.35. With RSI at 65.70, it’s nearing overbought territory–but momentum remains strong. The token’s 20-day EMA of $4.75 now acts as support, and analysts see a push to $8.30 as very much in play. Disclaimer: The information presented in this article is for informational and educational purposes only. The article does not constitute financial advice or advice of any kind. Coin Edition is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of the utilization of content, products, or services mentioned. Readers are advised to exercise caution before taking any action related to the company.

CNBC’s Jim Cramer has dismissed speculation that Bitcoin could go above $200,000 this year, calling such predictions unrealistic. His comments come as the crypto market is gaining renewed growth, with Bitcoin rising above $103,000. Cramer’s remarks also follow a shift in financial sentiment sparked by changes in U.S. trade policy under President Donald Trump. Cramer pointed to the recent market recovery as a response to Trump’s move to ease tariff pressures, a departure from earlier expectations of a more aggressive approach. The rollback of proposed tariffs on key trading partners, including China, led to a large rebound across major U.S. stock indexes. Cramer argued that those who expected the market to collapse under renewed trade tensions misjudged the administration’s direction. However, he emphasized that this recovery does not justify extreme projections in assets like Bitcoin. While equities rebounded on improved trade sentiment, Bitcoin maintained its upward trend. During the time of writing, Bitcoin traded at $103,794.10, marking a 1.11% increase over 24 hours. Its total market capitalization rose to $2.06 trillion, up 1.12% from the previous day. The cryptocurrency reached above $105,000 during the session before declining. Despite the positive price movement, daily trading volume dropped by more than 21%, falling to $49.87 billion. The market data also reflects Bitcoin’s changing supply patterns. With a circulating supply of 19.86 million BTC, the asset continues approaching its maximum limit of 21 million. The fully diluted valuation reached $2.17 trillion, and the volume-to-market cap ratio stood at 2.42%. Crypto analyst Xanrox supports this view, forecasting that Bitcoin is nearing the final stages of a bullish wave structure. Using Elliott Wave theory, the analyst identifies Bitcoin as being in Wave 3 of a five-wave pattern. According to his TradingView post, this pattern signals the last upward movements before a larger market correction. Xanrox projects a top between $120,000 and $125,000, indicating $122,069 as a likely peak based on Fibonacci Extension levels. His target coincides with a historical trend line connecting Bitcoin’s 2017 and 2021 highs, forming a projected arc toward the 2025 peak. Xanrox warns that once Waves 4 and 5 conclude, the market could enter a bearish phase. Disclaimer: The information presented in this article is for informational and educational purposes only. The article does not constitute financial advice or advice of any kind. Coin Edition is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of the utilization of content, products, or services mentioned. Readers are advised to exercise caution before taking any action related to the company.