Cena AlloraALLO

$ALLO Coin Market Scenario Analysis; ALLO/USDT is in a severe bearish correction after a parabolic pump. From the data: Current price ~$0.2169, down 8.71% in 24h. 24h range: $0.2065–$0.2678 (already bounced from the low. ATH $1.703 (Nov 11) → current = -87.3% in 4 days. ATL hit today at $0.2097, current price sitting just above it. Volume very high (10.32M ALLO traded, turnover $2.32M, volume/mcap ratio 348%), meaning the asset is extremely liquid and actively traded typical of post-listing/hype tokens that get frontrun then dumped. Fund flow (4h): Net outflow –132.73K USDT, with whales selling harder than buying (large sells 418K sell vs 290K buy), but notable large buy slice (29.26%) shows some smart money still accumulating on the dip. Technicals across all timeframes (15m, 1h, 4h) show price well below all MAs/EMAs, Bollinger lower band touched multiple times → classic oversold dump, but lower timeframes (15m) showing small hammers and higher lows since 0.2065, hinting at possible exhaustion. Current scenario = Capitulation / Post-pump massacre. Most weak hands already rinsed. This is the phase where the easiest money (pump) is over and the asset either bleeds to oblivion or starts quiet accumulation for the next leg. Macro Economy Impact on ALLO; November 2025 macro is actually strongly bullish for crypto (Bitcoin likely around 100k, Trump admin pro-crypto, rate cuts continuing, risk-on environment). However, low-cap alts like ALLO (MC $43M, FDV $217M) are currently decoupled they live or die by their own tokenomics, unlocks, airdrop claims, and community hype rather than macro. Positive macro acts as a tailwind for eventual recovery (more liquidity flows into alts after BTC dominance peaks), but right now the coin is dominated by project-specific selling (likely post-airdrop/launch dump). Once this bleed stops, macro will help the bounce be sharper. 4 Phases of ICT Market Maker Model – Where is ALLO right now? Accumulation → Already happened pre-pump (quiet buying before Nov 11 breakout). Manipulation (Raid) → The fakeouts and stop hunts during the climb to $1.703 and initial shakeout. Distribution → Took place at the top (Nov 11–12), smart money + insiders sold into retail FOMO. Reversion (Dump) → We are in the final stage of Reversion right now — violent markdown, raiding longs, sweeping the lows. Key observation: Price has now swept the all-time low zone multiple times and is printing higher lows on 15m/1h while volume remains high. This is textbook transition from Reversion → new Accumulation. Smart money often starts buying the panic when retail is terrified — exactly what we see with the 29% large buy slice in fund flow despite net outflow. Trade Plan – $350 Investment; Trade Type: Spot dip-buy into ICT Accumulation phase (counter-trend entry at capitulation). Style: Swing / position trade (2–14 days expected hold). Risk Profile: High-risk, high-reward (classic "buy when there's blood in the streets"). Execution (Spot market – safest with small capital) Immediate buy 50% ($175) at market ≤ $0.2190 → ~800–805 ALLO. Second buy 50% ($175) only if price dips again to $0.202–$0.208 zone → additional ~840–865 ALLO → Total average entry ~$0.211–$0.213 → Total coins ~1,645–1,670 ALLO. Position sizing & Risk Management Total capital at risk: $350 (100%). Stop Loss: $0.192 (invalidates accumulation thesis if swept hard) → max loss ~$140–150 (~40–43% of capital, acceptable for this RR). No leverage — spot only (leverage would get you liquidated in remaining volatility). Take Profit Levels (scaled out) TP1: $0.28 – sell 40% (+32% from avg entry) → +$185 profit on that tranche TP2: $0.35 – sell 30% (+65%) TP3: $0.45 – sell 20% (+110%). Trail final 10% with 4h MA20 or to $0.60+ if macro pump; Expected RR: 1:3.8 to 1:7+ (risk $140 to make $530–$1000+). Why this strategy is the BEST right now; 87% crash in 4 days = maximum fear, maximum oversold — statistically the highest-probability reversal zone for alts. ATL swept and defended multiple times today → liquidity grab completed, raid likely over. Large buyers still active (29.26% of flow) while small sellers exhausted. Macro tailwind + low FDV ($217M) = easy 3–5x from here if it follows typical post-dump alt pattern (many 2024/2025 launches did exactly this). Spot only = sleep-well trade, no liquidation risk with $350. ICT alignment perfect: buying the transition from Reversion → Accumulation after smart money finished distributing at top. This is a classic "Buy the blood" Accumulation phase entry the same setup that made people rich on SOL at $9, PEPE at lows, WIF at $0.08, etc. Most traders miss it because it feels terrible. This one feels terrible right now which is exactly why it works. Load the boat responsibly. Worst case you own cheap bags in a 2025 bull market. Best case you 4–10x in weeks. Position taken today would already be +3–5% from the absolute low. First real sign of strength will be a 1h/4h candle close above $0.235.$ALLO

$ALLO Support–Resistance Mapping Using K-Lines Anyone trading blindly is basically donating money to the market. K-lines provide clean, simple levels that $ALLO keeps respecting. Current Zones: Strong Support: Identified by double wick rejections. Mid-Resistance: Several candles struggled to close above it. Major Breaker Level: A long bearish candle origin — once broken, trend flips. Traders Should Watch: Daily candle closes around resistance. Reaction to liquidity wicks. Breaker blocks (sharp moves) that show institutional footprints. This is where disciplined traders wait — patience pays the bills.

$ALLO Price Action – Where the Market Is Likely Headed Next If we strip everything down — no indicators, no noise — and just read the K-line, $ALLO shows a pattern of compression. And compression ends one way: explosion. What the K-line Shows: Tight consolidation → volatility loading. Equal highs forming → liquidity resting above. Higher lows forming → buyers stepping in. Probability Outlook: The chart is printing a “coiled spring” formation. If $ALLO breaks above the liquidity zone, expect a clean breakout. If it rejects, price may retest deeper support before attempting again

$ALLO Market Structure – Identifying Trend Shifts Through K-Lines Market structure tells the truth when sentiment lies. And right now, $ALLO’s K-line structure is slowly transitioning from Lower Lows → Higher Lows, the first step of a bullish shift. Key Market Structure Signs: First higher low printed this week. Bulls defending the support block strongly. Bearish momentum weakening as candle bodies shrink. Why It Matters: Structure always changes before the trend. Anyone waiting for confirmation often ends up chasing the move. $ALLO’s chart is hinting at a potential trend development — and early eyes catch early entries.