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QuickSwap [Old]の価格

QuickSwap [Old]の‌価格QUICK

未上場
¥3,628.8JPY
-1.50%1D
本日14:43(UTC)時点のQuickSwap [Old](QUICK)価格は日本円換算で¥3,628.8 JPYです。
データはサードパーティプロバイダーから入手したものです。このページと提供される情報は、特定の暗号資産を推奨するものではありません。上場されている通貨の取引をご希望ですか?  こちらをクリック
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QuickSwap [Old]の価格チャート(JPY/QUICK)
最終更新:2025-09-16 14:43:23(UTC+0)

QuickSwap [Old]の市場情報

価格の推移(24時間)
24時間
24時間の最低価格:¥3,614.6624時間の最高価格:¥3,682.11
過去最高値:
¥2,019,239.68
価格変動率(24時間):
-1.50%
価格変動率(7日間):
-6.19%
価格変動率(1年):
-50.97%
時価総額順位:
#952
時価総額:
¥2,672,348,723.21
完全希薄化の時価総額:
¥2,672,348,723.21
24時間取引量:
¥884,335.83
循環供給量:
736.43K QUICK
‌最大供給量:
1.00M QUICK
‌総供給量:
946.14K QUICK
流通率:
77%
コントラクト:
0x6c28...9446f2f(Ethereum)
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現在のQuickSwap [Old]価格(JPY)

現在、QuickSwap [Old]の価格は¥3,628.8 JPYで時価総額は¥2.67Bです。QuickSwap [Old]の価格は過去24時間で1.50%下落し、24時間の取引量は¥884,335.83です。QUICK/JPY(QuickSwap [Old]からJPY)の交換レートはリアルタイムで更新されます。
1 QuickSwap [Old]は日本円換算でいくらですか?
現在のQuickSwap [Old](QUICK)価格は日本円換算で¥3,628.8 JPYです。現在、1 QUICKを¥3,628.8、または0.002756 QUICKを¥10で購入できます。過去24時間のQUICKからJPYへの最高価格は¥3,682.11 JPY、QUICKからJPYへの最低価格は¥3,614.66 JPYでした。
AI分析
本日の暗号資産市場の注目

2025年9月16日現在、暗号通貨市場は規制、企業、マーケットのダイナミクスにおいて notable developmentsが進行しています。

規制の発展

米国証券取引委員会(SEC)は、その執行アプローチにおいて重要なシフトを発表しました。議長のポール・アトキンス氏は、同機関が執行措置を開始する前に企業に対して技術的な違反を通知することになると述べています。この変更は、市場の信頼を高め、規制の公平性を確保することを目的としています。さらに、SECはトークン化された証券の取引を促進することに焦点を当てた暗号通貨規制を見直す計画です。これは、ブロックチェーン技術を介して24時間取引可能な株式や債券のデジタル表現です。

企業の動き

キャメロンおよびタイラー・ウィンクルボスによって設立された暗号通貨取引所Geminiは、米国の新規株式公開(IPO)を通じて4億2500万ドルを成功裏に調達しました。株式は1株28ドルで価格設定され、最初にマーケットされた範囲の24ドルから26ドルを超えました。IPOは利用可能株式の20倍以上の需要を集め、暗号通貨セクターにおける投資家の楽観主義を反映しています。同時に、ナスダックはGeminiへのプライベートプレースメントに5000万ドルを投資し、クライアントにGeminiの暗号通貨保管およびステーキングサービスへのアクセスを提供する戦略的パートナーシップを結びました。

市場ダイナミクス

ビットコインや他のデジタル資産に多額の投資をしている企業は、株価が大きく下落しています。例えば、マイケル・テイラーが率いるStrategyは、7月に457ドルから328ドルに株価が下落し、年間の増加率を13%に狭めました。同様に、日本の企業メタプラネットは、6月のピークから60%以上失いながらも、年間で105%上昇しています。アナリストは、この下落をこれらの企業が暗号通貨に対して強いレバレッジを持っていることに起因すると見ています。これにより、ボラティリティが増し、投資家の警戒感が高まっています。

政府の取り組み

2025年3月、ドナルド・トランプ大統領は戦略的ビットコイン準備金と他の暗号通貨のデジタル資産備蓄を設立する大統領令に署名しました。このイニシアチブは、デジタル資産セクターを高め、米国をクリプトスペースのリーダーとして位置づけることを目的としています。準備金は、2025年8月現在で約198,000 BTCと推定される連邦政府が既に保有するビットコインで資本化されます。

セキュリティの懸念

悪名高いハッキング組織ラザルスグループが、暗号通貨取引所Bybitに関与する重要なセキュリティ侵害に関与したとされています。2025年2月、約400,000イーサリアムが盗まれ、その当時の価値は約15億ドルでした。攻撃者は第三者のウォレットツールにおける脆弱性を悪用し、暗号通貨価格の急落を引き起こし、規制当局が取引所のセキュリティ対策を見直すきっかけとなりました。

市場のパフォーマンス

本日現在、ビットコインは115,434ドルで取引されており、日中の高値は116,702ドル、安値は114,489ドルです。イーサリアムは4,526.50ドルで、BNBは919.78ドルとなっています。他の注目すべき暗号通貨は、XRPが3.00ドル、カルダノが0.862984ドル、ドージコインが0.268543ドルです。これらの数値は、最近の企業および規制の発展にもかかわらず、比較的安定した市場を示しています。

結論

暗号通貨市場は、規制の変化、企業戦略、セキュリティの課題に影響され、急速に進化し続けています。投資家やステークホルダーは、このダイナミックな風景を効果的に乗り越えるために、警戒し、情報を保持しておくべきです。

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QuickSwap [Old]の価格は今日上がると思いますか、下がると思いますか?

総投票数:
上昇
0
下落
0
投票データは24時間ごとに更新されます。これは、QuickSwap [Old]の価格動向に関するコミュニティの予測を反映したものであり、投資アドバイスと見なされるべきではありません。
以下の情報が含まれています。QuickSwap [Old]の価格予測、QuickSwap [Old]のプロジェクト紹介、開発履歴など。QuickSwap [Old]について深く理解できる情報をご覧いただけます。

QuickSwap [Old]の価格予測

QUICKの買い時はいつですか? 今は買うべきですか?それとも売るべきですか?

QUICKを買うか売るかを決めるときは、まず自分の取引戦略を考える必要があります。長期トレーダーと短期トレーダーの取引活動も異なります。BitgetQUICKテクニカル分析は取引の参考になります。
QUICK4時間ごとのテクニカル分析によると取引シグナルは売れ行き好調です。
QUICK1日ごとのテクニカル分析によると取引シグナルは売れ行き好調です。
QUICK1週間ごとのテクニカル分析によると取引シグナルは売却です。

QuickSwap [Old] (QUICK)について

加密货币QuickSwap:简介和关键特点

加密货币是一种数字资产,它使用加密技术来确保安全性和匿名性,并实现分散的交易和交流。QuickSwap是其中一种引人注目的加密货币之一,它采用区块链技术,为用户提供快速、安全和低成本的交易体验。

QuickSwap是建立在以太坊区块链上的去中心化交易平台,旨在解决传统金融机构和中心化交易所的问题。由于其特殊的设计和技术,QuickSwap提供了快速的交易处理速度和低廉的交易费用。

以QuickSwap代币为例,它是QuickSwap平台上的原生代币。持有者可以使用该代币在平台上参与投票、奖励获得和治理机制等活动。该代币也被广泛用于奖励参与者和提供流动性的用户。

与传统金融机构相比,QuickSwap具有许多关键特点。首先,它采用去中心化的交易模式,意味着用户可以直接在链上进行交易,而无需传统交易所的中介。这种模式消除了中心化机构的风险和依赖,为用户提供了更高的安全性和可控性。其次,QuickSwap的交易速度非常快,通常只需要几秒钟就能完成,这使得用户可以及时获得资金,并快速响应市场波动。此外,QuickSwap还提供了低成本的交易费用,使用户能够以更具竞争力的价格进行交易。

在加密货币行业中,QuickSwap的出现代表了去中心化交易的新趋势。随着用户对隐私和自主权的需求增加,区块链和加密货币将继续迅速发展,并为用户提供更多自主、安全和高效的交易解决方案。

总结起来,QuickSwap是加密货币领域的一种创新,它提供了快速、安全和低成本的交易体验。通过去中心化的交易模式和使用可编程智能合约的方式,QuickSwap为用户提供了更多的自主权和可控性。这种创新将推动加密货币行业的发展,为用户提供更好的交易解决方案。

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Bitgetインサイト

ISF804
ISF804
2時
SWTCH/USDT — 4H Updated Market Take (deep technical breakdown)
SWTCH/USDT — 4H Updated Market Take (deep technical breakdown) Summary (TL;DR) Based on the 4-hour chart you supplied, SWTCH is showing a clear shift from a bearish lower-high structure into a short-term bullish regime: EMAs are stacked bullish (EMA5 > EMA10 > EMA20), MACD is positive with DIF above DEA, and a large volume spike accompanied the recent rally. Immediate overhead sits at $0.138 — $0.150 (0.150 is the stronger barrier / 24h high). Key short-term support sits around $0.113–$0.118 with a structural invalidation down near $0.092 (deeper support near $0.083). A breakout and clean 4H close above $0.150 on above-average volume is the clearest confirmation for a sustained leg higher toward $0.16–$0.20. Below I walk through the structure, indicators, trade plans, and risk-management scenarios. Chart snapshot & structure Chart / timeframe: 4-hour (as in your screenshot). Price (chart): ~$0.134 (the chart top shows $0.13408 at the readout). Your previous note of ~$0.128 likely reflects an earlier candle — small timing difference; analysis below uses the screenshot values. Recent structure: Transition from a series of lower highs into a sequence of higher lows (HLs) — classic accumulation behavior. The breakout attempt reached the $0.150 area and pulled back slightly, leaving higher lows intact. This shift indicates buyers are stepping in earlier on dips (improving demand). Key levels: Resistance: $0.138 (near-term) → $0.150 (24h high / stronger overhead supply). Targets on breakout: $0.16 (first target / profit-taking area), $0.18–$0.20 (structural extension; $0.206 shows as a prior swing). Support: $0.113–$0.118 (short-term support zone around EMA20 / prior consolidation), deeper support $0.092 (your stated invalidation) and the cycle low $0.083. Indicators — what they’re telling us EMAs (from chart): EMA(5)=0.12825, EMA(10)=0.12299, EMA(20)=0.11831. The short EMAs are stacked and sloping upward — a bullish formation on the 4H. Price is currently above all three EMAs, which now act as dynamic support (especially the EMA20). MACD (12,26,9): MACD value 0.00737, DIF 0.00336, DEA -0.00033 and a rising histogram. DIF > DEA and positive MACD indicate bullish momentum is active. Watch for any divergence (price making new highs while MACD weakens) as an early warning. Volume: 24h Vol (SWTCH) ~233.99M on the screenshot; the immediate 4H volume bar is ~142.57M vs MA(5) 44.82M and MA(10) 27.12M — a sizeable spike. Volume confirming the uptick is bullish — large participation on the run-up reduces the chance that this is purely a thin-market move. How I’d read price action from here (scenarios) Bull case (preferred): Price consolidates the recent gains, holds the $0.113–$0.118 area (EMA20 zone) as support, then re-tests $0.150. A clean 4H close above $0.150 on above-average volume signals continuation. Expect rotation into $0.16 first, then $0.18–$0.20 as sellers thin out. MACD should remain bullish (histogram staying positive and ideally expanding). Neutral / range case: Price fails to clear $0.150 decisively, oscillates between $0.113–$0.150 for multiple 4H candles as profit-taking and fresh buying balance out. This creates a longer base; breakouts after long consolidation often have stronger follow-through but require patience. Bear case / invalidation: A sustained break below $0.113 (and particularly below $0.092) would negate the bullish higher-low structure and likely trigger deeper consolidation or retest toward the cycle low near $0.083. Watch for high-volume sell sessions or MACD crossing down as confirmation of failure. Practical trade plan ideas (4H / swing view) > Always size positions so that you never risk more than a small % of your account per trade (example below). 1) Aggressive pullback entry (higher risk): Entry: Buy a measured pullback into $0.118–$0.125 (around EMA10–EMA20 area). Stop: Below $0.113 (just under recent HL/EMA zone). Targets: Partial take at $0.150, add/hold for $0.16–$0.18 depending on momentum. Why: EMAs offer value and trend support — good R:R if the level holds. 2) Conservative breakout entry (lower risk): Entry: Wait for 4H close above $0.150 on above-average volume (confirmation). Stop: Tight initial stop below breakout candle low or below $0.138. Targets: $0.16 (first), then $0.18–$0.20. Why: Reduces chance of false breakouts; trade follows momentum. 3) Short / scalp if momentum fails (high risk): Only for experienced traders: if you see a clear bearish reversal pattern + rising sell volume at $0.150, a short with stop above $0.155 and target $0.118–$0.113 could be attempted. Given crypto volatility, this is riskier. Position sizing example (concrete): Account = $1,000; risk per trade = 1% = $10. Suppose breakout entry = $0.150, stop = $0.130 → risk per token = $0.020. Position size = $10 / $0.02 = 500 tokens. Position cost = 500 × $0.150 = $75. This keeps risk limited while allowing participation. Risk management & rules to follow Risk per trade: 1%–2% of account recommended. Stop discipline: Use stops; move stop to breakeven once trade reaches 50% of your first target. Consider trailing stops as price extends to lock profit. Volume confirmation: Prefer entries on breakouts backed by volume > MA(5) on the chart. A breakout without volume is suspect Macro / liquidity check: Watch orderbook depth and centralized exchange flows; thin liquidity can magnify moves and slippage. Emotional rules: Predefine profit and loss exits before entering. Avoid doubling down into a clear structural breakdown. What to watch next (alerts) 1. 4H close above $0.150 on above-average volume (strong buy signal). 2. Price holding EMA20 (~$0.118) on any pullback (support confirmation). 3. MACD behavior: Positive histogram expansion (momentum strengthening) vs. narrowing (potential weakness). 4. Large sell prints or huge volume on red candles — potential distribution. 5. News/triggers — token-specific catalysts can accelerate moves and change structure rapidly. Final thoughts SWTCH’s 4-hour structure looks constructive: bullish EMA alignment, a rising MACD, and a clear volume pickup during the move. The clean confirmation to chase is a volume-backed 4H close above $0.150; alternatively, the EMA20 area (~$0.118) offers a tactical pullback entry for shorter-term traders who accept higher risk. Always manage position size tightly and be ready for either a continuation to $0.16–$0.20 or a quick rejection that re-tests $0.113–$0.092. This is a high-volatility market — define your risk, pick your scenario, and trade the price action. $SWTCH
HOLD-0.82%
DEEP+1.87%
Tajoo_nakamato
Tajoo_nakamato
3時
Avantis ($AVNT): Listings driven setup with pivot tests and breakout watch
I am carefully tracking Avantis ($AVNT/USDT) across Bitget and other major exchange books. At this stage, my position remains deliberately starter-sized as I wait for either a clean retest of the current pivot zone or decisive acceptance of new all-time highs supported by strong volume and broader book depth. Early listing dynamics continue to be the main driver of price action, so I will keep trade sizing conservative until genuine liquidity and market depth are established. MARKET SNAP → 1H/15m context: last visible closes around $1.12–$1.18 on intraday candles, session H/L prints near $1.13 / $1.11 on the shared chart snap. Recent 24h turnover exploded after listings and cross-exchange flow; market-cap and circulating figures place AVNT in the low hundreds of millions FDV band today. → App snapshot: tight but shallow spread on active CEX books during campaign windows; taker prints have produced large intraday spikes and quick retracements. On-chain AMM pockets (where present) are thin relative to CEX depth, so single-sided sweeps create noticeable slippage. STRUCTURE & KEY LEVELS → Short decision band / pivot: ~$1.05–$1.20 the current consolidation wedge sits inside this band; a clean hourly acceptance above the wedge lip is required to suggest a continuation leg. → Near-term support / hinge: ~$0.76 a broad red demand shelf annotated on the chart and a logical deeper invalidation if listings and campaign flows roll off. → Short invalidation / defensive pivot: hourly close < $0.76 = rotate out and reassess structural risk. → Breakout target / channel completion: measured move suggests $1.35–$1.50 on a clean breakout from the flattened consolidation into the prior ATH area. → Deeper liquidity magnet: $0.40–$0.80 historical accumulation pockets if a multi-exchange distribution leg appears. → RSI: mid-range on hourly panels (~45–50 on the chart’s indicator box), neither extended nor flushed — next directional leg will need volume confirmation rather than indicator expansion. → MACD: near-zero to slightly negative histogram readings on the visible panel, signaling momentum fatigue after the initial spike. → EMA clustering: short EMAs have been tested repeatedly on retests; they form micro-support but are not yet trending strongly. Use crosses and slope on 1H for trade confirmation. → Volume / OBV: explosive inflows at listing then a burnout pause — OBV needs a new higher-high to validate sustained accumulation instead of campaign-driven volatility. ON-CHAIN & LIQUIDITY (concise) AVNT is a Base/ERC-20 token with a fixed total supply of 1,000,000,000 tokens (token docs & contract details live in the protocol docs). Circulating supply estimates cluster in the low- to mid-200 millions range across major aggregators — this relatively low circ vs 1B max amplifies short-term FDV sensitivity to listing flows and vest unlocks. Liquidity is concentrated in newly-provisioned CEX books and selected AMM pockets; AMM ranges and pool tick widths matter because shallow ranges will produce large slippage on single-sided trades. WHAT I’M WATCHING 1. Retest acceptance into the $1.05–$1.20 pivot with visible absorption (wick rejection + buy-side prints across exchanges) → preferred initial long. 2. Breakout confirmation: hourly close above $1.30–$1.35 on volume exceeding the prior session spike → momentum add and scale. 3. Fail state: hourly close below $0.76 with increasing exchange outflows and OBV rollover → cut exposure, avoid averaging, reassess on-chain flows and unlocks. Also monitor scheduled unlocks, vesting releases, and major wallet transfer alerts — these are common catalysts post-listing. TRADING CONTEXT This is a listings/campaign-driven environment: triple-exchange listings and marketing pushes amplified demand and produced the initial run; that same visibility makes the market susceptible to fast reversals if retail interest cools or if large holders rotate. Best edge: treat entries as exploratory and size for slippage. Pre-trade checks should include instantaneous 5–10 level book depth on active CEXs, quick AMM single-sweep tests, and a glance at recent large transfers on-chain. TRADE SETUPS A) Structured Retest (preferred — best R:R) Condition: price returns to $1.05–$1.20, prints a clear tail rejection with visible buy prints across CEX/AMM. Entry: staggered limit buys (split 50/50). Keep starter-sized allocation. Stop: just below $0.76 or ATR-based micro stop for tight scalps. Targets: partial at $1.30–$1.35, scale the rest toward $1.45–$1.50 on acceptance and improving book depth. B) Momentum Break (smaller size) Condition: hourly close > $1.35 with volume > prior session spike. Entry: small starter (20–30% of intended total). Add after two-candle confirmation on hourly. Stop: 1.5× intraday ATR below pivot. Targets: $1.50 → extend to prior measured highs if orderbook depth supports larger fills. C) Defensive / Short (if structure breaks) Condition: hourly close < $0.76 + OBV rolling lower and large exchange inflows. Action: exit longs immediately; consider short or hedge only if book, funding (if perpetuals live), and on-chain flows corroborate the move. ORDER EXECUTION & RISK → Risk per exploratory trade: 0.5–1% equity recommended in listing-thin-book scenarios. Reduce size if depth remains shallow. → Use LIMIT entries, OCO stop + TP, and split fills (50/50 retest/confirmation). Use small test sweeps on AMMs to gauge slippage. → Check 5–10 level book depth and taker skew; if ask-side skew is dominant, avoid scaling. Example sizing: position = risk $ / stop distance (use ATR or the annotated support as baseline). SCENARIO MATRIX Bull continuation (30%): expanded multi-exchange demand + OBV confirm → measured run to $1.45–$1.60. Controlled retest (50%): pivot retest with wick rejection, then measured upside to channel target. Breakdown (20%): lack of follow-through and synchronized outflows from exchanges or unlocks → flush into deeper demand ($0.40–$0.80). FUNDAMENTAL / FLOW NOTES (brief) → Listing & visibility: Bitget and other major exchange listings triggered cross-exchange liquidity flows and campaign volume spikes; these are primary short-term drivers. → Tokenomics: fixed 1B supply with concentrated early allocations and vesting schedules — monitor vesting calendars and large-holder movement for asymmetric downside risk. ALERTS TO SET → Hourly close > $1.35 on volume. → Hourly close < $0.76 (invalidation). → OBV new HH or large cross-exchange inflow spikes. → On-chain large transfer or vesting release detected (watch Etherscan/Base trackers and major CEX inflows). FINAL BYTE Best edge is patient, reduced-sized limit buys into the $1.05–$1.20 pivot with strict ATR stops and mandatory book-depth checks before scaling. Listings and cross-exchange campaigns amplify both upside and washout risk; require OBV and widened orderbook confirmation to add size. If hourly close under $0.76, step aside and re-evaluate flow-driven fundamentals before re-entering. $AVNT Trade small, respect liquidity, and keep alerts active for vesting and cross-exchange flows. $AVNT
MOVE-1.03%
TREAT-1.21%
Tajoo_nakamato
Tajoo_nakamato
3時
Live ART ($ART): Rally-consolidation pivot trade retest, breakout, or structural flush
I'm watching $ART /USDT on Bitget starter sized only; waiting for a clean retest or breakout acceptance on strong volume. Trade reduced size until orderbook depth proves robust. MARKET SNAP → 1H/15m context: current visible 15m close ~0.0393, session H/L approx 0.04089 / 0.03825 on shared chart. Recent 24h turnover increased with clear intraday spikes tied to listing rotations and concentrated market interest on Bitget. Taker skew has created short, sharp runs followed by measured pullbacks. → App snapshot: active CEX book shows tight nominal spreads but shallow depth beyond top 5 levels; AMM pockets (where present) are narrow range and susceptible to single-sided slippage. > Market context: ART's recent impulsive advance printed multiple rising channel legs; the structure now sits in a micro consolidation with a visible decision zone ahead. Volume dynamics deserve emphasis: short-term session spikes were accompanied by rapid mean-reversion; intraday VWAPs have shifted higher during runs but fail to hold on thin-book retests. Watch delta between taker buys and sells—persistent buy-side taker dominance during retests is a positive sign. Also monitor derivatives if available: perpetual funding skew and open interest growth can either support continuation or signal retail exhaustion when they spike without natural absorption. STRUCTURE & KEY LEVELS → Short decision band / pivot: ~0.036–0.040 (intraday pivot and micro-channel mid). → Near-term support / hinge: ~0.022–0.024 (annotated demand band visible on lower timeframes). → Short invalidation / defensive pivot: hourly close < 0.022 — major rotate into deeper supply. → Breakout target / channel completion: measured breakout projects toward 0.055–0.060 if the channel sequence resolves to the upside. → Deeper liquidity magnet: 0.016–0.020 historical accumulation zone on early AMM ranges and CEX listing lows. TOP INDICATOR READS → EMA ribbon / DEMA refs: short EMAs on the 15m and 1H panels recently supported pullbacks; 5/10/20 cluster formed beneath price on intraday pushes indicating micro-trend support. → MACD: visible MACD histogram recently printed positive bars during the impulsive legs, though the latest consolidation shows diminishing histogram strength — momentum needs fresh volume to re-accelerate. → RSI / KDJ: short RSI sits mid-high on 15m (~56–60) and mid on hourly (~48–52), suggesting neither extreme nor flush — trade depends on volume confirmation rather than indicator divergence alone. → OBV / volume: OBV spiked on the run then flattened during consolidation; confirmation requires a new OBV higher-high with matching CEX and AMM inflows. ON-CHAIN & LIQUIDITY  $ART tokens display concentrated initial liquidity across a few AMM pools and several CEX orderbooks. Circulating supply is modest relative to nominal max allocations; AMM range widths and tick allocations matter because shallow ranges amplify slippage on single-sided flows. Monitor token transfer activity and large wallet movements—significant transfers to exchanges or new liquidity deployments often precede violent redistribution phases. WHAT I’M WATCHING 1. Retest acceptance: clean wick rejection + visible buy prints into 0.036–0.040 pivot → acceptable initial long entry. . Breakout confirmation: hourly close > 0.045–0.048 on volume exceeding prior spike average → momentum add and scale. 3. Fail state: hourly close < 0.022 with rising exchange inflows and OBV rollover → exit longs and avoid averaging. Also watch for announcements, liquidity provisioning events, or timed unlocks—these catalysts can flip the trade context swiftly. TRADING CONTEXT This is a thin-book, rally-then-consolidate environment. Initial surges were retail and listing-driven; the best edge is patience and testing for real depth. Pre-trade checks: 5–10 level book snapshots on Bitget, quick AMM micro-sweeps to estimate slippage, and taker skew tests to measure asymmetry. If skew is ask-heavy or AMM single-sided vulnerable, reduce size or slice entries. TRADE SETUPS (practical & size-driven) A) Structured Retest (preferred — best R:R) Condition: price returns into 0.036–0.040 pivot, prints rejection wick with visible buys across exchange levels and AMM ticks. Entry: staggered limit buys at the wick low (split 50/50). Keep starter allocation only. Stop: just below 0.022 or use ATR micro stop for tight scalps. Targets: partial at 0.045–0.048, scale remainder toward 0.055–0.060 on clear book depth and OBV confirmation. B) Momentum Break (smaller size) Condition: hourly close > 0.048 with volume > prior session spike. Entry: small starter (20–30% of intended). Add after two-candle hourly acceptance. Stop: 1.5× intraday ATR below pivot. Targets: 0.055–0.060 → extend if on-chain flows and orderbook depth support larger fills. C) Defensive / Short (if structure breaks) Condition: hourly close < 0.022 combined with OBV rolling lower and large exchange inflows. Action: exit longs immediately; consider short or hedge only if book and flow data corroborate. ORDER EXECUTION & RISK → Risk per exploratory trade: 0.5–1% equity in thin-book setups. Reduce size when CEX depth is shallow. → Use LIMIT entries, OCO stop + TP, and split fills (50/50 retest/confirmation). → Always check 5–10 level orderbook depth prior to committing; if depth is weak, slice orders or use TWAP-style fills. → Example sizing formula: position = risk $ / stop distance (ATR baseline recommended). SCENARIO MATRIX Bull continuation (40%) — renewed buying across CEX and AMM, OBV confirm → run to 0.055–0.060; ladder TPs. Controlled retest (45%) — pivot retest with wick rejection, then measured upside into previous channel highs. Breakdown (15%) — lack of follow-through volume and exchange inflows → flush toward 0.016–0.022 structural shelf. FUNDAMENTAL / FLOW NOTES → Listing & visibility: exchange listings and promotional windows created the initial liquidity surge; campaign-driven retail flows remain the immediate drivers of price action. Tokenomics: distribution and vesting schedules can create asymmetric downside if large allocations unlock; monitor vesting calendars and major holder movement. Project note: ART positions itself in the on-chain creative/art utility space; fundamentals matter long-term but price is currently dominated by flow and listing mechanics. ALERTS TO SET → Hourly close > 0.048 (watch vol). → Hourly close < 0.022 (invalidation). → OBV new HH or large AMM/CEX inflow spike. → Large transfer to exchange or sudden AMM liquidity changes. FINAL BYTE Best edge is patient, size-controlled limit buys into the 0.036–0.040 pivot with strict ATR stops; require OBV confirmation and widened book depth before scaling. Thin AMM ranges and concentrated liquidity make this a starter-sized trade only—step aside on a decisive hourly close below 0.022 and re-evaluate on-chain flows and vesting events. $ART Stay nimble and watch liquidity first, protect capital always. $ART
MAJOR-0.12%
NEAR+2.09%
Tajoo_nakamato
Tajoo_nakamato
3時
Switchboard ($SWTCH): Thin-book early listing play — retest or breakout validation
I am closely monitoring Switchboard ($SWTCH/USDT) on Bitget, where my position remains starter-sized. My primary focus is on whether the market delivers a clean retest of the recent pivot area or accepts new all-time highs on strong, sustainable volume. Until market depth becomes more evident and liquidity proves resilient, I will continue trading with reduced size to preserve flexibility and manage risk. MARKET SNAP → 15m close: 0.12827 (C). Session H / L: 0.13927 / 0.12670. → App snapshot: recent ask 0.13735, bid 0.12922 (tight spread prints on Bitget book). → Recent 15m/1H volume: notable session spikes with 24h turnover in the low-tens of millions on combined CEX + AMM pools. > Market context: SWTCH launched with concentrated on-chain liquidity and listing campaigns; early distribution and airdrops created episodic inflows that drive intraday volatility and thin-book dynamics. STRUCTURE & KEY LEVELS → Short decision band / pivot: ~0.12–0.14 (intraday cap and pivot cluster inside the rising micro-channel). → Near-term support / hinge: 0.1047 (annotated structural support on hourly panels). → Short invalidation / defensive pivot: hourly close < 0.1047 (major rotate into deeper supply). → Breakout target / channel completion: ~0.16–0.18 to validate the rising channel and complete the measured move. → Deeper demand shelf / liquidity magnet: ~0.07–0.10 area — historical accumulation pockets on Raydium CLMM and early centralized orderbook lows. → EMA ribbon / short DEMA refs: short EMAs clustered beneath price on 15m and 1H, recent price confluence tested EMA(5/10/20) on pullbacks and used them as micro-support. → MACD: recent positive histogram bars rolling off; momentum pulse from the intraday spike is decelerating without clear follow-through. → RSI / KDJ: RSI on short frames sits mid-range (~47–64 across 15m/1H snapshots) — not oversold nor overbought, meaning the next directional leg requires volume confirmation. → OBV / volume: OBV showed a strong jump at listing and during campaign flows then settled into an elevated range; sustained OBV demand will be needed to validate continuation higher. ON-CHAIN & LIQUIDITY SWTCH is an SPL token with a low circulating float versus a 1B max supply; circulating estimates sit near 160–172M. Raydium CLMM pools host the majority of visible AMM liquidity (~$1.7–$2.0M) while Bitget and a couple of other CEX orderbooks provide the rest. Watch CLMM tick ranges for rebalancing prints — shallow ranges can cause large AMM slippage on single-sided sweeps. Token distribution is relatively concentrated and token unlocks or staking withdrawals pose asymmetric flow risk — keep an eye on large transfers and scheduled unlock events. WHAT I’M WATCHING 1. Retest acceptance: clean rejection wick and buy volume into ~0.12–0.14 pivot band → acceptable initial long. 2. Breakout confirmation: hourly close > 0.16–0.18 on volume greater than the prior spikes → momentum add with scaled size. 3. Fail state: hourly close < 0.1047 with rising sell-side OBV and big wallet outflows → rotate out and avoid averaging into a structural wash. TRADING CONTEXT This is an early-listing, thin-book setup. Listing campaigns and airdrops created shallow depth pockets that look good for retail scalps but hostile for institutional entry. Best edge is patience: wait for liquidity proofs (book depth, AMM pullbacks with absorb, OBV confirmation) before increasing exposure. Pre-trade checks should include 5–10 level book snapshots, taker/bid skew tests, and quick AMM micro-sweeps to gauge real slippage in both directions. If skew shows persistent seller pressure on the ask side or AMM single-sided vulnerability, reduce size and avoid scaling. TRADE SETUPS A) Structured Retest  Condition: Price returns into 0.12–0.14 pivot zone, prints a tail rejection wick with visible buy prints across Bitget levels and Raydium pool rebalancing. Entry: staggered limit buys at the wick low (split 50/50). Keep starter size only. Stop: just below 0.1047 or use ATR-based micro stop for tight scalps. Targets: take partial at 0.16–0.18, scale to 0.22–0.25 on channel acceptance and book depth confirmation. Momentum Break (smaller size) Condition: 1H close > 0.18 and sustaining volume above prior session spikes. Entry: small starter (20–30% of intended size). Add after two-candle acceptance on the hourly. Stop: 1.5× intraday ATR below pivot. Targets: run to 0.22–0.25; extend if orderbook depth and AMM liquidity support larger fills. C) Defensive / Short (if structure breaks) Condition: hourly close < 0.1047 combined with OBV rollover and large exchange inflows. Action: exit longs immediately; consider short or hedge only if book and on-chain flows corroborate the breakdown. ORDER EXECUTION & RISK → Risk per exploratory trade: 0.5–1% equity for this thin-book early-listing environment. Reduce size if book depth is shallow. → Use LIMIT entries where possible, OCO stop + TP for discipline, and split fills (50/50 retest / confirmation). → Check 5–10 level orderbook depth before committing; if depth looks shallow on Bitget, slice orders via TWAP or reduce size. → Example sizing: position = risk $ / stop-distance (use ATR for stop baseline and scale position accordingly). SCENARIO MATRIX Bull continuation (35%) — renewed buying across CEX + AMM, OBV confirm → measured run to 0.22–0.25; ladder TPs and watch for liquidity walls. Controlled retest (50%) — best edge: retest pivot 0.12–0.14, wick rejection, then measured upside to channel target. Breakdown (15%) — lack of follow-through volume, concentrated holder rotations or unlocks → flush toward 0.07–0.10 structural shelf. FUNDAMENTAL → Listing & visibility: campaign-driven listing and promotions produced the early liquidity surge; marketing-led spikes remain the dominant short-term driver. → Tokenomics: low circulating float vs high max supply amplifies volatility when retail sells or large holders rotate; monitor vesting schedules and staking protocols. → Project note: Switchboard is positioned as decentralized oracle infrastructure on Solana; protocol adoption and node economics matter but short-term price action is dominated by flow and listing mechanics. ALERTS TO SET → Hourly close > 0.18 (watch volume confirmation). → Hourly close < 0.1047 (invalidation). → OBV new HH or large Raydium / Bitget inflow spike. → Large token transfer detected on-chain (Solscan alert). Also monitor Bitget perpetuals funding and open interest (if available) — sudden funding spikes or skewed OI can precede violent liquidation cascades and force AMM depth rebalancing; use these as early warnings for flow-driven price moves. Best edge is patient, small-limit buys into the 0.12–0.14 pivot with strict ATR stops; require volume + OBV confirmation and improved book depth before scaling. Thin CLMM pools and concentrated token distribution make this a starter-sized trade only — step aside on an hourly close below 0.1047 and re-evaluate with tokenomics flow data. $SWTCH Trade small, preserve capital, and re-evaluate after any large on-chain transfer or unlock. $SWTCH
MOVE-1.03%
MAJOR-0.12%

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