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Big Macro Day Ahead - Volatility Expected A quick 3-minute read on the biggest macro events, forecasts, and major earnings hitting today. We’ve got: • Q2 GDP (8:30 AM ET) • FOMC decision (2:00 PM ET) • Powell speaks (2:30 PM ET) • Major Tech earnings 1. GDP: A weak result may intensify recession fears, especially with tariffs weighing on economic activity •⁠ ⁠Q1 GDP: –0.5% (confirmed contraction) •⁠ ⁠Q2 forecast: +2.5% •⁠ ⁠Atlanta Fed estimate: +2.9% (as of July 25) 2. Fed Rate Decision: Markets expect rates to hold steady. • July cut odds: 2.6% • September: 64% and rising BlackRock expects no cut, tone and forward guidance will be key. 3. Major earnings to watch today: • Microsoft ( $MSFT ) – Estimated EPS: $3.38 • Meta Platforms ( $META ) – Estimated EPS: $5.88 • Robinhood ( $HOOD ) – Estimated EPS: $0.31 4. Powell’s Press Conference: •⁠ ⁠Easily the most anticipated event of the day •⁠ ⁠Key question: Does he stay the course or bend to political pressure? •⁠ ⁠His tone will steer stocks, bonds, and the U.S. dollar If GDP surprises to the downside again, market sentiment could shift sharply. Brought to you by @kshitizkapoor_

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