AlloraNetwork coinの‌価格ALLO

→ Price: 0.1904 → Trend: Bearish stretch but flattening out → EMA 50: 0.2066 → still acting as a downward dynamic resistance → MACD: Blue line below orange (bearish), but convergence suggests a possible bullish cross → Support: Strong support box around 0.180–0.188 → Resistance: 0.215–0.225 red zone → “IF BREAK THEN UP” level → Market Tone: Sellers weakening but buyers not fully stepping in yet Market Structure Breakdown Price has been repeatedly pushed down from the EMA 50, confirming it as the dominant resistance line in the current 1H environment. Each time ALLO tries to rise into the 0.205–0.210 region, sellers reappear. The MACD histogram shows bearish momentum slowing, with bars shrinking and the blue line curling upward from below the orange line. This is usually the “pre-cross” phase that develops before buyers attempt a reversal. At the same time, ALLO sits on top of a clearly drawn blue demand zone, which has already produced rebounds on multiple tests. This is the exact type of compression environment where markets often snap out sharply — either upward or downward. Key Zones to Watch 1. The Support Box (0.180–0.188) This is the line between a bounce and a fresh leg down. → If this breaks, expect acceleration lower as liquidity gets cleared. → The chart explicitly marks this as “IF BREAK THIS” meaning a downside continuation. Breakdown targets: • 0.178 • 0.172 • 0.165 (measured from previous impulse legs) 2. The Resistance Block (0.215–0.225) This zone is where the bullish scenario ignites. → If price breaks this level with a strong 1H candle, it removes the overhead supply. → EMA 50 reclaim + MACD bullish cross = strong reversal signal. Upside targets: • 0.238 • 0.245 • 0.255 (momentum extension) Short-Term Outlook (Next 6–12 Hours) The market is coiling sideways, forming higher lows but still failing to break 0.200–0.205 decisively. This typically happens when sellers are losing energy but buyers are still cautious. What Must Happen for Upside Momentum: → MACD blue line must cross above orange → Price must hold above 0.188 → A candle must close above EMA 50 (0.2066) These three events would shift the short-term narrative from defensive to opportunistic. Expect Slow Movement Until the Break Given the size of the EMA/Support compression, ALLO is likely to move sideways with sudden sharp pulses. Scalpers can play the small structure, but the bigger move comes only on a break of blue support or red resistance. Swing Outlook (1–3 Days) The swing structure in this chart is simple and very binary: Bullish Swing Scenario Conditions: → EMA 50 break → Price closes above 0.215 Outcome: ALLO targets the 0.238–0.255 range with a rising three-wave structure similar to the projected arrow shown. Swing Entry: 0.216–0.220 retest Stop: Below 0.198 Take Profit: 0.238 → 0.245 → 0.255 Bearish Swing Scenario Conditions: → Price breaks below 0.180 support → MACD fails to cross and momentum re-expands downward Outcome: ALLO revisits deeper liquidity zones. Swing Entry: Break and retest of 0.180 Stop: Above 0.190 Take Profit: 0.172 → 0.165 → 0.159 This breakdown scenario is less likely at the moment, but it remains active as long as EMA 50 is suppressing price. Long-Term Technical View This chart does not include fundamental overlays, but from a technical standpoint: → ALLO is still in a broad downtrend → EMA 50 on the 1H timeframe is the main gatekeeper → MACD is the first indicator that will show a momentum reversal → Support around 0.180–0.188 is crucial for long-term structure If ALLO loses that support, long-term structure weakens significantly. If ALLO breaks the red resistance block, long-term trend begins to shift upward. What’s Next for the Market Scenario A: Upside Break • MACD crosses upward • EMAs flatten • Price pushes through 0.215–0.225 → ALLO begins a proper 1H trend reversal → Momentum opens the path to 0.238 and then 0.255 Probability: Moderate Condition: Needs volume + MACD power Scenario B: Breakdown • Price closes below 0.180 • MACD rolls downward again → ALLO returns to a bearish trending phase Probability: Low to Moderate Condition: Only if buyers fail to protect the blue box Scenario C: Choppy Sideways • Price stays between 0.188–0.205 • MACD stalls → Expect slow accumulation before bigger move Probability: High (based on current candle formations) Final Strategy & Allocation (Based on This Chart) Short-Term (Scalps) Allocation: 10–15% Entry: Near blue support or small EMA 50 rejections SL: 0.179 TP: 0.198 → 0.205 Swing Long Allocation: 20–30% Entry Trigger: Break above 0.215 SL: 0.198 TP: 0.238 → 0.255 Swing Short Allocation: 15–20% Entry Trigger: Breakdown of 0.180 SL: 0.190 TP: 0.172 → 0.165 Long-Term Allocation: 40–50% Accumulation Zone: 0.180–0.188 Invalidation: < 0.170 Targets: 0.255 → 0.300 (if trend changes) $ALLO

Snapshot (1H Overview) → Price: ~0.190–0.196 range → Momentum: RSI 40.59 → weak but recovering from oversold drift → Trend Strength: ADX 23.96 → low momentum trend, bearish but weakening → Short-term Trend: EMA 7 below EMA 21 → still bearish bias → Key Support: Previous day close zone (~0.187–0.190) → Immediate Resistance: Lower block near 0.210–0.215 → Major Resistance: 0.255–0.270 top red zone → Market Tone: Consolidating after extended decline, potential basing attempt forming Short-Term Outlook (1H Setups & Immediate Moves) ALLO’s 1H chart is coming out of a clear downtrend where EMA 7 crossed EMA 21 from above, confirming a bearish sequence exactly as noted on the chart. Every 1H candle that closed below the previous day’s close reinforced downward pressure — and price followed that script cleanly. But now, price is sitting right on top of the previous day’s close area again, and the selling pressure has visibly slowed. The candles are tightening, wicks are showing more rejection from the lows, and the RSI has stabilized around 40–41. This is the first sign that short-term sellers may be losing control. What matters right now: • Price is attempting to reclaim EMA 7, but EMA 21 is still a lid above. • ADX below 25 means trends are weak → this often precedes short-term reversals. • Price is hovering near the previous day close — historically on this chart, this level reacts strongly. Short-Term Bullish Trigger → A clean 1H candle close above 0.198–0.202 (above EMA 21) Would signal the first bullish micro-shift. Target 1 → 0.210–0.215 (first red zone) Target 2 → 0.225 (previous day open) Stop-Loss → Below 0.187 (wick low from the current consolidation) Short-Term Bearish Trigger If price closes 1H back below 0.187, the previous day’s close fails again. Target → 0.180–0.182 liquidity sweep zone Short-Term Trading Strategy Scalpers can play the break of the EMAs: • Long setup → Enter on 1H close above EMA 21 • Short setup → Enter if EMA 7 re-tests and rejects EMA 21 downward Keep in mind: This chart is slow-trending right now. Patience beats reaction. Swing Outlook (2–7 Days Outlook) The swing structure shows a broader descending pattern, but with price forming a potential base near 0.185–0.190. Historically, when ALLO prints several consecutive low-body candles with long lower wicks — just like the current series — it often leads to a relief bounce first before any continuation. The swing play depends entirely on reclaiming the 0.210–0.215 resistance block. Swing Bullish Confirmation → Price must break and hold above 0.215 on 4–6 hourly candles Once this occurs, it invalidates the short-term bearish momentum. Swing Targets: • T1: 0.225 • T2: 0.245 • T3: 0.255–0.270 (major resistance zone) This top zone is strong — marked by a thick red block on your chart — and has acted as a supply ceiling multiple times. Swing traders should aim to take profit into that region. Swing Bearish Case If the previous-day’s-close zone collapses (0.187), then the swing path shifts: Targets • 0.180 • 0.172 • 0.165 (measured move of prior leg) Long-Term Prediction (Fundamental + Technical Blend) Even though the provided chart is purely technical, ALLO’s long-term direction still relies heavily on: → Project roadmap execution → Community adoption within the DePIN / allocation ecosystem → Liquidity growth → Exchange integrations → Partnerships and real ecosystem demand → Broader market risk conditions From a technical lens, higher timeframes show ALLO under long-term pressure, but the 1H chart suggests the asset may be in the early stages of constructing a short-term reversal base. Long-Term Technical Bias Neutral → Tending Bullish Upon Holding 0.185–0.190 If ALLO holds above the previous-day-close support consistently and begins closing candles above the EMA 21 on higher timeframes (4H+), the next 30–60 day projection leans toward: Potential Long-Term Range: 0.185 → 0.270 → eventual expansion toward 0.320 if the upper block finally breaks. This scenario strengthens if the project announces: • new ecosystem utilities • token demand drivers • additional CEX/DEX integrations • liquidity injections • partnership announcements If no catalysts appear, price will remain technical-driven and trade within a compression range. What’s Next for the Market Scenario A: Bullish Path (Most Likely if 0.198 Breaks) Price reclaims EMA 7 → EMA 21 A 1H candle closes above 0.200 Momentum shifts, RSI pushes above 50 A run into 0.210–0.215 If that block breaks → acceleration into 0.225 and eventually 0.245 High-chance test of the major resistance at 0.255–0.270 This scenario fits with the slowing bearish momentum shown by ADX. Scenario B: Neutral/Chop Price stays between 0.187–0.210 for several sessions. ADX will continue to fall → signaling accumulation. This usually precedes a bigger move. Scenario C: Bearish Breakdown If 1H candle closes below 0.187 again: → The market confirms lower lows → Bears regain full control → Quick drop into 0.180 and possibly 0.172 Final Strategy & Allocation Guide Here’s a structured strategy based on your chart: Short-Term (Scalping & Fast Trades) Allocation: 15–20% of trading portfolio Entry: Above 0.198 (EMA reclaim) SL: < 0.187 TP: 0.210 → 0.215 This is a momentum reclaim play — quick in, quick out. Swing Trades (2–7 days) Allocation: 25–35% Entry: Break and hold above 0.215 SL: < 0.198 TP: 0.225 → 0.245 → 0.270 These levels match the red resistance blocks on the chart. Long-Term (Position Build) Allocation: 40–50% Zone to accumulate: 0.185–0.190 Invalidation: < 0.170 Upside: 0.270 → 0.320+ Long-term holders should focus on fundamentals + technical confirmation. Combining charting + on-chain confirmation keeps both discretionary and systematic traders aligned. Final Thoughts ALLO’s 1H chart is showing the first signs of momentum exhaustion on the downside. RSI stabilizing, ADX weakening, and repeated defenses of previous-day-close support all point toward a potential short-term reversal. The key to everything is the reclaim of EMA 21 and the break of the 0.210–0.215 block. Until then, ALLO remains bearish-to-neutral — but increasingly ready for a move. If the bullish trigger hits, the path toward 0.225 → 0.245 → 0.270 opens. If support fails, 0.180 becomes the next liquidity zone. $ALLO

Price Action Recap: Looking at ALLO right now, the chart tells a story I have come to understand deeply. From November 11 to 16, the token went through a massive spike and immediate reversal. That move pushed the price up over 600 percent in seven days and then forced the market into a consolidation phase. Currently, ALLO sits around 0.1917 USDT, up slightly over the past 24 hours. The day’s high reached 0.2187 and the low fell to 0.1828. Trading volume has calmed compared to the spike, sitting around 15 million ALLO. The market is resting after an intense week, but all indicators are hinting at what could come next. Short-Term Neutrality: The 5 and 10-period MAs and EMAs are almost exactly aligned with the current price. This tells me that short-term momentum is neutral and the market is consolidating. The 20-period averages are slightly above the price, showing that the mid-term trend is leaning down slightly. For me, this setup makes sense. The market is taking a pause after huge volatility and is finding a new equilibrium. Signs of a Stabilizing Market: Bollinger Bands indicate the price is near the middle-lower section of the range. This supports the consolidation view and shows the price is not stretched in either direction. The Parabolic SAR sits below the price, signaling short-term upward pressure. MACD is negative and shows a crossover where momentum has slowed, but the histogram is tightening. In my experience, a tightening histogram often precedes sideways consolidation or a momentum shift. Waiting for Direction: Current trading volume is lower than the 5 and 10-period averages. This matches the price, highlighting a quiet phase where traders are waiting for direction. RSI is around 40, confirming neutrality. OBV is negative but slightly above its moving average, suggesting selling pressure may be slowing and accumulation could be quietly building. The Rate of Change is negative but improving, which indicates the downtrend is losing speed. Potential for a Short-Term Rebound: The Stochastic RSI is the most interesting signal right now. Both K and D lines are below 30, indicating oversold conditions. The K line has crossed above the D line, signaling a potential rebound. Combined with easing selling pressure from OBV and slowing ROC decline, this forms a pattern that favors upward movement. Where I’m Watching Closely: The picture becomes clear when I put it all together. The correction is slowing, the market is stabilizing, and a short-term bounce or sideways movement is likely. I see 0.19 to 0.20 USDT as a key area. If buyers defend 0.19, a move toward 0.20 is likely, with resistance around 0.202 to 0.205. A break above 0.205 could open the door to 0.218, the recent high. On the downside, if 0.19 fails, support could be tested around 0.185 and 0.182. If those break, the next area to watch is near 0.178 to 0.176, which historically saw buyers step in after the pump. Monitoring these zones is critical to understand whether the correction continues or the market is preparing for another rebound. My Trading Mindset: This is the type of setup where patience matters. I am watching how ALLO reacts around 0.19. If buying activity picks up and volume rises, it signals a potential upward move. A break above 0.20 with increasing volume could lead toward 0.218 and higher. Conversely, if support at 0.19 fails with rising volume, I would expect a drop toward 0.182 or lower before stabilization. The key is to combine price behavior around these zones with momentum signals from Stochastic RSI, OBV, and ROC. After extreme volatility, wide swings are normal. ALLO is entering a phase where technical signals are aligning and the market is deciding its next move. I remain focused on these levels, ready to react, and using this consolidation period to understand the broader trend in real time. DYOR on $ALLO

Unlike high-cap coins, $ALLO is still small and reactive. That is why a few whale injections can create: Low resistance up-moves Long green candles Fast price discovery Right now, market cap and circulating liquidity are very low — meaning: ✔️ Every buy matters ✔️ Small demand → BIG price expansion ✔️ Opportunity before crowd arrives This is how early investors win. The Spring Compression Setup (Momentum Reversal) $ALLO has been pushing downward since listing — but recently something changed: OBV stopped declining Selling pressure reached exhaustion Candles are shrinking in volatility This means the market is preparing a shift. The tighter a spring compresses… > the bigger the explosion when released. $ALLO is that quiet spring right now. Don’t sleep on a reversal this early. Bulls Are Returning Quietly The +12% recovery in a low-volume environment shows that: → Whales are testing liquidity → Buyers are stepping forward → Shorts are losing momentum Recoveries that start silently are usually the strongest because: Nobody expects them. Nobody is prepared. Smart traders accumulate while others doubt. ALLO’s Incentive-Driven Economic Flywheel What gives $ALLO long-term growth is not hype — but utility: Engagement → Rewards Rewards → More Users More Users → Higher Demand Higher Demand → Price Growth This is a self-feeding economic loop. With Bitget promoting events + rewards in $ALLO , demand ignition is not if— ➡️ It’s WHEN. The bottom is a gift. The upside is a mission.