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Cycle Network $CYC is a very new token with a tiny float (152 M circ vs 1 B max supply). Its market cap ($50.8M) are low, implying that even moderate flows of capital can swing price. CYC just listed on Binance Alpha and other exchanges on Aug 4, 2025. Bulls pushed it to an all-time high near $0.0773 that day, only to see a sharp retracement into the $0.042 range (its all-time low) by Aug 11. In other words, the daily chart shows a classic “FOMO spike vs. profit-taking” maniacal move: a strong uptrend into early August, then a swift break of structure as traders took profit. Daily Chart On the daily timeframe, CYC is carving out a high-volatility consolidation. The range is roughly $0.042–$0.078 (Aug 7–Aug 11), with price recently rebounding off $0.055–$0.058) to signal renewed trend. Conversely, support sits near the recent lows ($0.041–$0.045). Key daily signals: RSI and MACD have reset near oversold levels, hinting at a possible swing low. Volume is now subsiding from the initial frenzy, so we want to see higher volume on up days (volume confirmation) as a sign of buying interest. A daily close above ~$0.055 on volume would suggest fresh momentum. On the flip side, a break below $0.042 would be bearish, invalidating the higher-low thesis and likely triggering stops (see Risk below). In short, the daily structure suggests a potential bull-flag/base forming after a huge up-move; watch for a resolution out of the band in either direction. 4‑Hour Chart Zooming into 4H, the price has swung between 0.042 and $0.048), indicating buyers stepping in on dips. A converging pennant or flag may be visible: highs near 0.055 and lows creeping up. The 4H 20‑EMA is beginning to slope up and CYC has been trading around it, so holds above the EMA would keep the near-term bias bullish. Watch how volume behaves on bounces vs. pullbacks – dampened volume on falls and pick-up on rallies would confirm accumulation (smart money). Oscillators like RSI on 4H are in mid-range – a failure into oversold (below 30) could be a buy signal; a failure above 70 with flat momentum could warn of a pause. Crucially, any breakout attempt on 4H above 0.055–0.056 (near the recent swing high) backed by volume may open a move toward the daily resistance zone (0.06–0.065). Conversely, a drop below ~0.048–0.047 on 4H, especially if 20EMA breaks down, would require caution – it could retest the 0.042 pivot. 1‑Hour Chart In the last few 1H candles, CYC looks set to accelerate. The 1H chart may reveal a small consolidation pattern (for example, a pennant or rectangle between 0.049–0.052). An aggressive trader might enter on a breakout of this range, targeting the 0.055–0.057 area immediately above. Intraday EMAs (9/21 EMA) could be used as dynamic guides: price staying above the 21-EMA (~0.050) signals short-term strength. The 1H RSI and stochastic are modest, so there is room to run. However, 1H volume is thin relative to daily moves, so false breakouts are possible. If CYC stalls around 0.052–0.053, look for a retest of the 0.049–0.050 level with dip-buying. A deeper failure (below 0.048) on 1H would indicate the rally lost legs. Overall, 1H suggests a slight bullish tilt now, but risk runs both ways. Trade Setups & Key Levels Given the structure above, we outline the following scenarios and plan (aggressive vs. conservative entries): Bullish scenario: Entry on sustained break above $0.055–0.056 (clear of the short-term high). Aggressive entry could be on a smaller breakout above ~$0.053 (the recent minor high), while conservative entry waits for a daily close above 0.055+ with decent volume. Stop-loss for both could sit just below recent support – e.g. $0.047–0.048. Take-profit targets: T1 ≈ $0.063–0.065 (next resistance area), T2 ≈ $0.075–0.078 (prior ATH). This scenario assumes bullish continuation; odds improve if volume picks up and if broader crypto markets are supportive. Bearish/Neutral scenario: If price fails to clear 0.055 and falls below the rising trendline (~$0.048), or if it breaks below $0.042, then the pattern is neutral-to-bearish. One could then consider short positions (or standing aside) until a new base forms. Protective stops on shorts can be near the breakdown point (e.g. around 0.045 on a breakdown of 0.042). Alternatively, neutral players may hold and wait for a move back into range (0.048–0.055) before engaging. Probability scenarios: A clear breakout above 0.055 has medium odds, given strong bullish psychology from the initial surge. A failure at resistance and slide to 0.042 is also plausible (as seen last week). If broader market turns positive, bulls could push CYC up; if fear returns, sellers may test $0.042 again. Buy-on-dip (aggressive): Some may target the area $0.045–0.048 as a value zone, betting on a bounce from near-term support. This is riskier (stop needed ~1–2% below 0.042 low). Scale strategy: Buyers can scale in – initiating a partial position on a breakout, adding on follow-through. Conversely, scale out at each take-profit (e.g. take some at 0.065, more at 0.075). Risk Management and Trade Psychology Cycle Network is highly illiquid and volatile. Position sizing must be small. It is wise to use tight technical stops (e.g. just below swing lows or EMAs) rather than wide stops, given the potential for spikes. Watch for liquidity hunts: smart money often pushes price briefly below obvious support ($0.042) to grab stops (momentum stops and retail bids), then reverses higher. So a false break of $0.042, quickly reclaimed on volume, could actually be a bullish sign (shakeout). After entry, trail stops upward as the trade moves in your favor (e.g. breakeven at T1, lock in partial profit at T1 and let the rest run to T2). If price stalls or reverses at any target (e.g. heavy resistance at $0.065), tighten stops or take profit. Always watch overall market sentiment – a quick turn in BTC/crypto could derail the setup. In summary, CYC’s structure suggests a potential upside continuation if it can clear the short-term highs with conviction. Key levels to watch: supports ~0.042–0.048 (entry zone on pullbacks) and resistances ~0.055, then 0.065. Tokenomics (low cap, large hidden supply) mean traders should be very mindful of selling pressure. But if smart money is accumulating after the washout, a textbook breakout from this base could lead to a 20–30% rally into the first targets. Patience and discipline (scaling, proper stops) will be crucial in this choppy environment.

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